I've been tracking a soccer system that only plays dogs of between (roughly) +300 and +900. The data goes back to 3-24-2014. Since then the system has gone 129-462 for a win percentage of 21.8%
If you bet one unit a game you would have wagered 591 units and won 685.34 units. That's a profit of 94.34 units in a little less than 9 months. That's almost 16% ROI with a nearly 600 game sample size. Not bad. The win percentage and ROI increase to 22.5% and 20.71% respectively when omitting cup games as well. (Which I will be doing moving forward)
I've gone over the numbers a few times and I'm still skeptical myself. I keep thinking I'm overlooking something and usually when something seems too good to be true it is. Nonetheless, I will begin posting the plays in this thread and keeping a record daily, beginning 12/13/2014.
I will attempt to keep an overall record and a separate record of only plays that I could find at my book to see the difference.
**Things To Note**
*The lines for the past data is according to soccer-rating.com. In moving forward, these lines will not be what you can get in the U.S. Some lines will be better some will be worse. Of the few I've checked so far the lines seem to be better for us than what soccer-rating is listing so the results may even be better than what I've stated. This may also NOT be true.
*If you live overseas (or in Canada maybe) then you should be able to play every play no problem. But like most of us who are in the U.S., you will NOT be able to get all of these plays. No U.S. friendly book that I know of will offer some of these obscure leagues. With that being said, the data still seems to hold up when omitting the lesser leagues.