Hizz......I truly enjoy reading your plays, I just have one question because I can't seem to wrap my answer around from anyone playing Seattle +3. Only one Super Bowl has been decided by less than 3 pts when the Giants beat the bills 20-19, the rest of the superbowls have obviously been won by 3 or much greater.
So my question is, why is playing +3 such a big deal, are Seattle backers playing for the push? I don't understand why Seattle backers would not just play for the kill at moneyline +120 or whatever. What are the odds the game ends by the favorite team winning by 2 points ? I mean if Denver wins, it's not gonna be by less than 3, and if they don't obviously +3 Seattle backers win. But the odds of the game ending at exactly 3 are much greater, so my question is why would someone want to play for a push at + 3 for -110 and pay juice when you can get +moneyline with no juice, a 3 unit bettor with save $30 on the juice if it loss and if it pushes, yes they don't lose, but bettors don't play for pushes they play for wins.
Either I'm just not seeing the logic behind the +3, or Seattle backers playing for the push? If they have high value on +3, they should be betting Seattle moneyline to just win it
Thoughts, thanks