I am really looking forward to the AP/AM H2H this evening. Expecting a ton of points!
**Washington Redskins/Minnesota Vikings Over 49½ (-110) ~ Cannot see this landing below 50 and actually expect it above 60. If Pryor/McFadden can pound the 'Skins (inaccurate...sorry, my head is out of my ass now). It was actually Flynn. And yes, the Raiders DID lose. Not really sure which game I was thinking about?. I believe Ponder/Peterson can. For you OLG playas, this is a rock-solid "tie" option, but only at 2.80. Minnesota 34 Washington 31
Washington Redskins/Minnesota Vikings Over 24½ (-105) 1st Half ~ I expect a track-meet right out of the chute.
Total field goals made in the game;
Under 3½ (-140) ~ Very juicy for good reason, but considering the fact that both teams are in the bottom 10 in FGA at 13 each through 8 games AND the fact that FGs may not do much good, I expect both teams to be going for it on 4th downs. They may not even have 3 attempts? I hope that 3 of 7 kicking travesty in Houston isn't jading my thinking....LOL
Obviously, the Longest FG Under 45.5 (-115) correlates to this as they likely won't want to chance giving up great field position.
Consider the Longest Pass Play Under as neither QB has thrown a pass in excess of 47 yards this season.
Player to score first touchdown in the game;
Jerome Simpson (+800)
Robert Griffin III (+1200)
Final thoughts on TNF;
I feel strongly that the Vikings win this game via Special Teams, specifically on the few punt returns that there may be and here is why;
The Vikes are near (or at) the top of the league in punt returns averaging over 16 yards per. In contrast, the 'Skins allow a whopping 20+. Let's just see how giving AP a short field works out for them?
In stark contrast Minnesota allows a mediocre 11+ while the Skins average ONLY 6.5 yards per return. That alone is a difference of almost 10 yards of field position (per PR) in the Vikes' favor. Once again Washington. Let me know how THAT works out....losing field position possession by possession. Very tough to overcome.
By the way, I have the Vikings +3, but am not posting as the line's no longer available. I do like 'em SU.....
Oregon Ducks -10 (-120) (bought unneeded hook) ~ As I stated, I do not believe the hook is necessary, but a thin dime to protect against a late score (backdoor cover, as we so lovingly refer to them) is comfort food to me. By keeping your backdoor covered, you will suffer the heartbreak far less often. That is even "without" the donkey punch. I expect this much like the Huskies' game. Nobody has held them under 40....not sure that it happens here, either?
Oregon -3 (-115) 1st Quarter ~ We have all heard the saying "like a hot knife" through butter"? LOL
ULL Ragin' Cajuns -13.5 (-110) ~ Trojans a different animal on the road. Could get out of hand quickly. Expect the RC to approach 50.
**Baylor Bears -13½ (-140) 1½ Point Buy (Risk 2.8 to Win 2)~ Not really concerned about the price as I got the number I wanted. Every Bell TO will be 7 on the board for the Bears. In way over his head here. Another fraud Top 12 match-up, IMO.
Another monster line in Boston, where the Bruins just have not looked right. I'd stay clear.....Panthers should be good for a pair, but that is as far as I'll go on this one.
Montreal Canadiens (+103) ~ Hard to predict which Senators' team shows up, but the Habs are road warriors and I, at least, know that they will.
Devils/Flyers Under 5 (-115) ~ No chance of laying -145, but expect it will be similar to Philly's 1-0 over NJ earlier this week. Emery shutout the Devils over the weekend and has a 1.90 career GAA against them. Not sure why Brodeur is starting here?
No play on the Wild/Caps Under 5.5 (-135) due to the price, but.......a grind it out affair where one bounce likely ends it. Home team is 11-1 in their last 12 meetings. A little too trendy for a Wild play, IMO?
Possible OT prop on the Isles/'Canes.....we'll get back to it later. I am only seeing +250 on it. IF it hits +270 or higher I'll bite, but I do not see it happening.
Expect the Jackets to bank it (3-2), but not fussy about the >-130 wood.
Hard to trust the Wings (scoring 2 gpg) at home, but cannot see the Stars upending the Bruins and Wings B2B on the road?
Edmonton Oilers/Tampa Bay Lightning Over 6 (+105) ~ I think this is the first Over 6 I have played all season. Beware.....
Buffalo Sabres +1½ (-140) ~ Not backing the ML here, but I expect them to remain competitive. We may be amazed at the confidence that winning at the Shark Tank instills?
Buffalo Sabres +½ (-145) 1st Period ½ unit ~ Yeah, I know how bad they've been in the first. Just hoping for a little carryover from SJ.
No chance of laying >-160 on the Sharks, but I do expect the Canucks to walk into a hornets' nest after 3 straight OT losses for SJ.
Straight totals' parlay at 20/1;
**Minnesota Vikings Over 23½ (-115)
**UL Lafayette Over 41 (-110)
Oregon Over 36 (-110)
**New Jersey Devils/Philadelphia Flyers Under 5 (-120)
Minnesota Wild/Washington Capitals Under 5½ (-135)
Atlanta Hawks +4 (-110) ~ The only one to even pique my interest and I would NOT play it under this digit. Nuggets conceding 108 ppg at home. Not sure they can score enough?