Irony is for the most part many games are semi predictable. Only been a couple extreme 'shockers' and with hindsight those arent even that shocking. Remember when Ten beating Pitt was seen as 'impossible'? Well 3 weeks later how bad does the loss look or how good does the win look? Remember when Philly was going to win the NFC east and 10 or 11 games?
Its called the ESPN mentality, too many people have it. But it also goes beyond sports. It is the whole over reaction to anything and everything that takes place and how people respond to things. Cutting someone off in traffic used to get a horn, now youre just as likely to get shot at or followed and beat down.
Yesterday a few games were surprising but nothing outrageous. Cle winning, while interesting was by no means unrealistic. Game opened -3.5 and because of a new QB and how people(ESPN) ridiculed the guy everyone and their brother lined up to bet the Vikes, who simply are a bad bad football team. Cle is bad, but the guy is/was an unknown that really should have given people some cause for delayed reaction.
Its not like Jax and them having to replace Gabbert with an unknown, Jax sucks at every position but RB, and he is banged up. So that kid doesnt have a lot to work with. Cle has a better than average defense and some weapons on offense.
There are more, dont want to get into a diatribe about it.
But every team that has won had a reason why that makes sense. It isnt like Jax went into Sea and beat them 20-17 or anything. THAT would be inexplicable.
PERCEPTION is a gift as well as a curse, the ability to overcome that is the key to 'success'. Find reasons dont make excuses.
Bottom line is Cowherds OPINION is garbage right now because he cant let reality sway his perception or preconceived notions of teams. That is why you see extremes in records. He thinks he is right and he is going to will the teams he thinks are good to wins. Rather than re-evaluate and move on. It worked for him last year apparently the teams he guessed would be good were, this year not so much.
Everyone thinks theyre an expert especially guys who think they know people who know people or actually do know people. Even if guys know everything they still probably couldnt beat it. Imagine if Joe Montana had gone tout.....
NFL is tough to beat, bad scoring system, way too many rules, and vig/holds that are all over the board. Also too much corrupted 'data' with too small a sample size to evaluate correctly. You have to go week to week and hope youre evaluating teams correctly. Then of course the 'market' guys who let the moves and what other people think sway their opinions. Another fools folly. LVH contest is proof of that. "stale' numbers theory not working this year, nor did it work too well last year.
This probably got a little (or a lot) off topic. But it just goes to show there are no 'experts' when it comes to betting the NFL, just people who have the ball bounce the right way more often, or a flag thrown at just the right time more often. Because true experts wouldnt even play those games in the first place and would focus on the games those things dont occur. Which we all know is impossible to do.