9.5 punts is too low tonight IMO.
The ravens D is the best in football, forcing 6.3 per game (only the Rams force over 6, at 6.1). Their offense is in the bottom 6 with 5.3 punts per game.
Patriots are good at not punting at 3.9 but their D does force slightly above average at 4.8 per game.
The league average for punts per game is 9.2 so we're essentially just being asked to go one above the average to win our wager with 3 of 4 units that all produce a lot of punts.
I'm projecting 11 for a max punts over today