FYI, I've got a little spreadsheet going where I look at the team & opponents last 30 games on both sides of the 13 point teaser. Logic being if a Team A rarely overperforms expectation by 13 points and Team B rarely underperforms expectations by 13 points then we have a strong tease play on Team B getting 13.
For example:
- Chiefs + 6. KC is 96.6% when given 13 points and Jacksonville has only beat the number by 13 points 3.7% of the time.
Here are the top plays:
- Chiefs + 6
- Packers + 13 (90.3% for Pack and 3.2% for Indy)
- Bills + 20 (96.4% for Bills and 12.5% for Seattle)
- Broncos (93.8% for Broncos and 10.7% for Oakland)
- Cowboys + 6 (86.2% for Boys and 3.7% for Cleveland)
As for your plays, the only one I really don't like is the Eagles. 22.8% of Philly's games they have lost the number by more than 13. None this season.
BOL