NFL YTD: 49-32 60% (+13.3u)
2 Unit Plays: 0-1 (-2.2u)
1.5 Unit Plays: 2-2 (-0.15u)
1 Unit Plays: 47-29 (+15.65u)
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Week 14: 6-0-1 (+6u)
Its been quite the run the last 4 weeks, lets keep it going. Small card this week, will likely be a few more adds before Sunday.
Week 15
Titians +5.5 -110 (1.1u / 1u)
This looks to be a good spot for the Titans to hang in tough here at Arrowhead. This is a sandwich game for KC between Oakland last week and Denver next week. The Chiefs have struggled to win by margin all year and their statistical profile has been average at best. They have capitalized on big Defensive and special teams plays all season long. I think this this a good spot for Tennessee who picked up a big confidence boosting win against Denver last week. They should be able to pound the ball and run at will here in this matchup, shortening the game. I like the Titans to keep this one close and if they won straight up I would not be surprised at all.
Buccaneers +7 -110 (1.1u / 1u)
Here come the Bucs! Defensively this team has been so impressive the last few weeks, they are really playing well. The Bucs have won 5 straight, 4 of those as underdogs and are playing with tremendous confidence. On the other side is the Cowboys who have started to show signs of slowing down. They have been horrendous on 3rd down the last two weeks and opposing defences have seemed to figure out ways to slow down the Dallas offence. I think there is money to be made betting against Dallas as the playoff push beings to heat up. There is a lot of pressure on this team and their Rookie QB. I like the Bucs to put pressure on Dak and stuff the run here, forcing them into a lot of 3rd and medium / long situations. The Bucs have been road warriors this season going 5-1 SU and ATS, all as underdogs. I think this is a tight game to the final whistle.
Buccaneers / Cowboys Under 47 -115 (1.15u / 1u)
See writeup above. The Bucs defence has been very good the last 5 weeks Holding NWO to 11pts, SD to 21pts, SEA to 5pts, KC to 17pts, CHI to 10pts. Very impressive to say the least. On the other side of the ball the Bucs are a bit banged up at WR but now with a healthy Doug Martin they are able to pound the rock and use TE Brate to sustain long drives. Now defences have to respect the run which has made a world of difference for the Tampa offence. The Coyboys O-line is the best in football but as we have seen the last 2 games against MIN & NYG, when facing a strong opposing D-line they can be neutralised to a certain extent and thats exactly what the Bucs bring into this matchup. Their D-line has been tremendous in recent weeks, frustrating the likes of Brees, Rivers and Wilson. High stakes, high emotion, some conservative play calling, I see this game staying under 47.