Don't have time to handicap games over the next few months, so I'm probably done for the year. I'm profitable in both NFL and college football as well, so not too bad for someone who a few said was horrendous at capping.
I will say that I'm surprised at the increase in the bashing of people on here, and I got into it with people too. I think Fezzik said it best, "just focus on winning" when someone made a comment to him. He's the best football capper on here and a legit winner amongst the rest. Pregame used to really crack down on that stuff but I guess not anymore?
If you want my thoughts on beating the books, almost all of you won't do it, but it's possible if don't bet parlays/teasers, bet close to the same on every game, bet against lower quality teams as favorites, always pay attention to who the quarterback is, try to back quality when possible (quality qb's, quality coaches, quality defenses). It all comes down to the number of the game...like you can't say I would never back the Jets because what if they are 30 point underdogs. I would back them, but they might not be good to back as a favorite. Quality coaches/offenses/defenses tend to over perform expectations, while bad coaches/offenses/defenses tend to underperform. Also, it's really tough for double digit road underdogs to cover point spreads in college conference games. They can do it, but expect the point spread to likely be close in the 4th quarter.
Handicap the games yourself if possible but be very, very selective with who you buy picks from. I wouldn't buy picks from anyone unless I've done very good research on them in advance. Like I know from the years that Andre Gomes is a long-term winner in basketball. You have to also look at how much you're paying for picks to know how much you have to bet to win.
Google the game before making a bet and read some articles from local newspapers about how the team is doing. There isn't much "inside information" anymore with the amount of information on the internet. Also, focus on teams that you know...if you don't know anything about the teams in a Weds night MAC game then don't bet on it, no matter what a supposed expert says. I'm guilty of that one too. These are all things that I have experienced myself over the years.
Here are some initial leans that I have for next week in case anyone cares:
Air Force -3.5, Duke +1.5, Kentucky +6.5, and possibly the Navy/Notre Dame over depending on what number is set at.