Overall I had a winning Week 2. I hope to keep it going in week 3. BOL Everyone. I will add more in the morning
TOP PLAYS
4 UNIT PLAY
(Risking $40.00 To Win $36.36) 6 Point Teaser: Green Bay +8 & Indianapolis -1
3 UNIT PLAYS
(Risking $30.00 To Win $27.27): NEW ORLEANS -10 over Minnesota: One theory I like to use for a team is that when things get tough for them the best that can happen is a road game. Uh Not here. This is a terrible spot for the Vikings. They are leaving town from all the turmoil, but they are still without their best player in Adrian Petersen. Now the Vikings take to the road to take on an angry Saints squad that played and lost their 1st 2 games of the season on the road. At home Drew Brees in unstoppable, while the saints as a team have outscored their opponents by 20 ppg in their last 20 home wins. Minnesota may be an improved team this year, but their defense is still suspect, they have very little running game and do not have a NFL caliber QB that can put enough points on the board to keep this one close vs the Saints.
(Risking $30.00 To Win $27.27) Detroit/ Green Bay Over 52: I see this as a shootout. Both offenses are high powered and while the Lions didn't show that last week at Carolina, they are a much different offensive team at home. They proved that in game 1 by moving the ball at will vs the Giants. Now they get to take on a suspect Green bay offense that allowed GENO SMITH to just move the ball at will vs them last week and of course Seattle did the same as well. Aaron Rodgers has always had great numbers vs the Lions and Detroit has a very weak defensive backfield. We also note that the Over is 7-3 in Detroit's last 10 home games, while the Over is 6-0 in Green Bay's last 6 games in September. Both teams should throw a bunch in this game as we see nearly 60 points put up.
(Risking $30.00 To Win $27.27) Cincinnati/ Tennessee Under 42.5: The Bengal offense is explosive, but they are banged up at WR and that should mean a bit more running from Bernard, who has been solid in the early going. Another reason the Bengals may look to run more is that they just saw the Titans get run over by the Cowboys last week. The Bengals have given up some yards this year, but make no mistake this is a very good defense that will only get better as the season goes on. Despite allowing 366 ypg, they have given up just 13 ppg so far. The Titans offense is not an explosive one, but more of a ball control one that will just look to keep the clock moving. They have averaged just 18 ppg thus far and I don’t see them putting up a whole lot on this tough Bengals defense. The Titan defense has been solid and are 1 st in the league vs the pass, while allowing just 18 ppg on the year so far. The Under is 6-1 the last 7 meetings in Cincinnati, while the UNDER is also 6-1 in Tennessee’s last 7 games on Fieldturf. Both trends should continue here as we get a game in the mid-30s at best.
(Risking $30.00 To Win $27.27) Denver/ Seattle Over 48: (Added) First I guarantee that the Broncos will not be held to 8 points or less, especially with them getting back Wes Welker for this one. The Broncos want revenge for last year's SB debacle and the best way they can get that is through their offense. The Seahawks are not just all defense, as they know how to score as well. The have scored 57 points in their first two games and that fits right in whit the fact that they vowed to open up the offense a bit more this year. It has been very hard to stop this team so far and I don't see the Broncos being able to do that here. Denver showed vs the Colts that they can be scored on and the certainly will be here as well. This game should end up in the 50s rather easily.
Risking $30.00 To Win $27.27) Pittsburgh/ Carolina Under 42 (Added)
BEST OF THE REST
(Risking $25.00 To Win $22.73) Atlanta/ Tampa Bay Under 45: The Bucs offense has been very bad for a while now and I don't see it getting much better in this one, even though they are facing a bad Falcons defense. Josh McCown is not a very good QB and after the Falcons allowed 170 yards on the ground to Cincinnati last week you can bet that Tampa Bay will look to just pound Doug Martin right at Atlanta here. That will shorten the game, plus keep the Atlanta offense on the sidelines. That Atlanta offense is explosive, and that's all the more reason to shorten the game, plus this Tampa Bay defense is not bad at all and they can get pressure on Matt Ryan, which is a way to rattle him. Hard to see many if any Tampa Bay being played above 45 points and I certainly don't see this as one of them.
(Risking $15.00 To Win $13.64) San Diego/ Buffalo Over 45: The Bolts offense is clicking right now and really showed how good they can be vs the Seahawks. They have lost Ryan Mathews for a few weeks and that just means they will have to throw a bit more. Donald Brown is a solid back and will for the Bill LBs to pay attention to him, which means the throwing lanes should open even more for Rivers. The Buffalo offense is not a juggernaut, but their ground attack is very good and that will also help to open throwing lanes for EJ Manuel to pick apart a rather weak San Diego secondary. Lets also note that the Game 3 home favorites of less than 7 have gone 23-5 to the OVER if they played BB Unders in their first 2 games. This one should hit 50+.
(Risking $15.00 To Win $13.64): NY GIANTS -1 over Houston: Something keeps telling me "Take the Giants", so I will listen to that inner voice on this one. The Giant showed a couple of bright spots in their new offense last week in the first half and this has the feel of a game that they will put it all together. They really need this game to take the pressure off and while the Texans have shown that they are in bounce back mode I just see this as a tough spot for them, especially after playing in Oakland last week and now having to travel cross county for this one, plus playing a desperate 0-2 team doesn't help matters either. I look for the Giants to break through with their first win of the year today.
(Risking $26.00 To Win $20.00) 10 Point Teaser: Eagles/ Washington Under 60.5 & Patriots -4 & Baltimore/ Cleveland Under 51.5
(Risking $12.00 To Win $10.91) Dallas -1 over ST LOUIS
(Risking $25.00 To Win $22.73) San Francisco -3 over ARIZONA
(Risking $25.00 To Win $22.73) 6 Point Teaser Pittsburgh +9 & Pitt/ Carolina Under 48 (Added)
NFL 2014
Top Plays Overall 6-4-1 (+5.8 Units... +$47.71)... 4 Unit 1-0-0 (+3.00 Units... +$36.36)
Top Play Totals 4-3-1 (+2.10 Units... -$19.54)... Power Angel Plays 0-1-0 (-3.30 Units... -$35.00)... Top Play Teasers 1-1-0 (-0.30 Units... -$2.73)
Best Of The Rest Plays Overall 9-10-0 (-4.00 Units... -$32.54)
Best Of The Rest Totals 4-3-0 (+1.4 Units... +$25.73)... Best Of The Rest Teasers 2-3-0 (-2.6 Units... -$34.27)