Lloyd Christmas said:
Wow, what a logical post
Is there an ATS equivalent? Just curious.
6 & under constitutes a significant number of nfl game margin of victory. While the SU "66.8" is reasonable, there is no way in hell that a 6.5 favorite in the nfl COVERS over 50% of the time, imo.
Even betting 66.8% on a ML ticket, that is a significant losing proposition.
I guess I wasn't initially clear on the topic of 6.5 being a bad number, but this information does suggest some considerable drop off between 6.5 to 7 - even in a SU scenario. 8.9% variance which looms large, and in subjective theory may validate my initial query at some level.