For one Tenn can lay as many as they want to with Brey they are an entirely diffrent team, why because he gives them an offense, now since they have a offense the defense is stepping up he's the missing link.
Put Vandy back in as long as you have only 1 win vs a NON FCS opp it still counts its when you play two non fcs teams that they only count 1(bye bye Kentucky ... Hello new Tenn team)
Any theory where the team needs 1 more bowl win to be bowl eligible is counted into the line. We did this study last year here at pregame, don't remember who it was but I followed along and here are the #'s
Wk 11 wk 12 wk 13 2010
6-8-2 7-3 6-8 Overall - 19-19-2
3-4 2-3 4-4 HM teams - 9-11
2-4-2 3-1 4-5 RD teams - 10-8-2
I did not continue this study b/c found no absolute value in it but I guess its still necessary that your aware of that angle when capping the game
Go Cocks!