1* Penn State -27
1* Wyoming -3.5 -105
1* Arizona -8
Heading out to the Va Tech game here shortly, and wanted to put these three wagers up. I think I could possibly get ab better line with Arizona, but I'm not sure where the day will take me so rather than missing out on the PREEM I'll go ahead and grab the action now.
For Penn State my set line is 29.5, and while early this week I had said I didn't want to lay those points I've of course to change my mind.
One of the main reasons is Penn State QB Hackenberg he should really rip the UMASS defense. For UMASS offensively I'm not so sure they'll score a point in this contest. They haven't seen a defense as good as what the Lions bring, and one that's even close to that was Boston College where they scored 7 at home. Meanwhile Penn State hasn't had the luxury of facing a defense as bad as the one UMASS brings. Really a team this bad as I have UMASS both offensively and defensively ranked 120 to to 130th.
After only scoring 13 last week at Rutgers I look for a much better output for Penn State here today. The Lions haven't scored over 27 in a game all season, but they have value here because of the low scores and UMASS deceptive scoring vs a less than good Colorado & Vanderbilt. So I'll trust my number here and lay the lumber.
My number for this Wyoming contest is the Cowboys -3.5, and so I'll take that nickel juice right there and make it a play. Florida Atlantic will be playing they're 3rd road contest in four weeks, and Wyoming head coach Craig Bohl has said he will use the elevation factor at home to run the ball over and over again. Bohl by they way had is 26 game winning streak snapped as HC when the Cowboys lost to Oregon winning some Natty Titles at North Dakota State.
The Cowboys had over 400 yards of offense vs. Oregon, and led 7-0 after the 1st quarter. We have value with last week's contest and the fact that Florida Atlantic scored 50 on Tulsa. Wyoming has won both contest at home this year, and they actually had snow there last week. It's a lonely place to travel, and FAU's rushing defense of 120th to 130th will likely have a long day.
I have Arizona -18 here vs. Cal, and the Bears are the sexy underdog play this week. In game two Cal Clubbed Baby Seals beating Sac St 55-14, and before that they went to Northwestern and beat up a dismal Wildcat team. Arizona got into a scoring fest with Nevada winning 35-28, and barely escaped at UT-San Antonio. What those result have give me is line value, because if this game was played 2-weeks ago Arizona would've been 14-point favs.
Arizona brings in a top 10 offense, and will be a true test for Cal's while improved but still young team. Arizona has a bye next week before Oregon, and Cal will surely have 10% of their focus coming at 2-0 and off a bye themselves. The Bears do have an edge in defense here, and thus the reasoning for the 1-unit play. That and Mucho respect for Cal HC Sonny Dykes.
Doc
Recap of PREEMS:
1* Auburn Loss
1* Penn State -27
1* Marshall -9
1* Pittsburgh -6.5
1* Michigan -4.5 (there are 3.5's now)
1* Wyoming -3.5 -105
1* Alabama -14.5
1* BYU -14 (probably my favorite play)
1* Arizona -8