this link will take you to the pregame records page, from there you can tab through my past seven days, 30 days, and season pregame.com/.../default.aspx
almost every play posted ive gotten on the my picks though I have missed a couple here or there and any 1st half plays I put in my picks as full game picks with a notation in analysis so its not the most accurate pick tracking. maybe some slow weekend ill sit down and tally where I am in the thread, but that's why I keep everything posted in one running thread
im floating just above 50% for the most part, some of its my capping and some of it is just plain wrong losses like nova for last night they just got spanked like a jv team.
As for vandy, ill explain my play in a two fold fashion.
1. Kentucky is all world, that is a known fact. And on paper this line is probably dead on. What I like about vandy is kind of an intangible in that they their previous losses have been close 3 point decifits. they are young and with nowhere near the talent level of Kentucky, its going to come down to the coach keeping them fighting at the end that can get us the backdoor cover. smart play might also be on Kentucky 1h. I think these kids will play a full game in an effort not to be trounced like the cats have done to bama and mizzou this past week. either way, its just a standard one unit play, nothing special
2. Aside from my normal betting, for the past two weeks I have been doing something on the side. Since KY's first OT game I have been playing their opponent on both the spread and moneyline. has not fared well with the past weeks aforementioned beatdowns, but I do believe this team will fall flat again somewhere in the midst of conference play. and at 40/1 odds, a tenth of unit wins enough to cover what I have lost so far. so in effect im fading heavy favourite Kentucky as part of long term (I used this strategy successfully in MLB) betting strategy. goal is even betting on the dogs ATS and small incremental increases on the moneyline (I do not believe they finish undefeated) in the hopes that the game they do lose will be against a real dirty mutt like vandy paying a hefty price. Most people would advise against this kind of thinking, and that's fine, im not here to argue its viability as a model