Went 4-2 overall last night, but split my top plays. Still Ill take it. Let's keep it going today.
TOP PLAYS
3 UNIT PLAYS
(Risking $20.00 To Win $15.38) St Louis/ Washington Under 7 (-130): Great pitching matchup here should lead to a low scoring game. Michael Wacha is off to a very nice start, with a 1.89 ERA and an 0.95 WHIP in 3 starts thus far. We also note that in his lone start vs them (last year) he gave up 0 ERs in 8.2 innings of work. Cardinal pitching has dominated the Nats of late as they have allowed just 1.7 rpg to them over the last 10 meetings. Gio Gonzalez has a 3.50 ERA on the year, but just one bad starts and he has a 1.13 ERA in 2 career starts vs the Cardinals. Gio also has a 2.55 ERA in 31 career starts in this park and in his only start here this year he pitched 6 shutout innings vs Miami. Both offenses should have problems getting going vs these pitchers tonight in a game that should put no more than 5 runs on the board.
(Risking $25.00 To Win 22.73) Cleveland/ Toronto Over 7.5: (Added) Toronto's Drew Hutchinson has pitched two games on the road this year, but has yet to allow a run in his 11.1 innings of road work so far this year. That will change in this one vs a Cleveland team that hits .269 and scores 6.12 runs per 9 innings off of right-handers at home for the year. The Jays have averaged just 3.9 rpg on the road overall, but 4.3 runs per 9 vs righties on the road and they will be facing Justin Masterson, who has allowed 6 ER in each of his last 2 starts. These two offenses are clicking right now overall as the Tribe have averaged 5.8 rpg in their last 5, while the Jays have put up 5.2 rpg over the same stretch. Let's expect at least 10 runs in this one.
(Risking $20.00 To Win 21.00) LA Dodgers/ Arizona Over 7 (+105): (Added) The Arizona Diamondbacks had a rough series vs the Mets, in which they scored just 5 runs in the 3 games, but sometimes getting out on the road will take the pressure off a struggling team and the D-Backs did score 14 runs in the last 2 games vs the dodgers this year. They also faced Greinke once this year and while they did put up just 1 run on him, they had 8 hits in the game so they were able to hit him. The D-Backs have scored 4.5 rpg on the road, so getting away from home should help them here. The offense for the D-backs has been inconsistent, but the pitching has been very consistent. Consistently bad. The Diamondbacks come in with a 6.02 ERA overall and a 6.40 ERA on the road, plus they have allowed the Dodgers to score 6.4 rpg on them in the 5 meetings thus far this year. Wade Miley has been really bad with a 5.02 ERA in 4 starts this year and he has a 5.02 ERA in his last 5 starts vs the Dodgers. LA has struggled vs lefties this year, but just not vs Wade as they have put up 8 ERs in just 10 innings of work over two starts vs him this year. The Dodgers may get the 7 on their own vs this staff, but still getting a few from the D-backs wont hurt as well and I see that happening. Look for a 6-3 type game.
OTHER PLAYS
2 UNIT PLAYS
(Risking $10.00 To Win $8.70) Boston/ Baltimore Under 8 (-115): The Boston Red Sox have had some real problems getting their offense going this year, as they come in ranked 25th in the league in scoring. Im not sure it will get much better for them in this one vs Chris Tillman, who has an 0.84 ERA in 3 starts this year and a 2.90 ERA in his last 5 starts vs the BoSox. John Lackey has always pitched well vs the O's as his 3.33 ERA and 14-5 record over 24 starts would indicate. He was rocked in his last start vs the Yanks, but still has a 3.86 ERA on the year and a 2.30 ERA in 14 starts at Fenway as a member of the Red Sox. Baltimore has average just 3 rpg in their last 5, while Boston has put up just 3.2 rpg over that same stretch, and vs these two pitchers I just can't see the offenses breaking out in this one. No more than 7 runs here.
(Risking $10.00 To Win $9.09) San Diego/ San Francisco Under 6.5 (-110) (Added)
1 UNIT PLAYS
(Risking $6.00 To Win $15.60) Parlay Dodgers -190 & Oakland -225 & Texas -158
(Risking $7.00 To Win $7.91) Seattle +113 over MIAMI (Added)
MLB Records
Top Plays Overall 25-17-1 (+16.85 Units... +$74.58)... 4 Unit 1-0-0 (+4.00 Units... +$30.43)... 3 Unit 24-17-1 (+12.85 Units... +$44.15)
Top Play Totals 19-13-1 (+12.25 Units +$56.05)... Top Play Parlays 0-2 (-3.00 Units -$40.00)
Other Plays Overall 34-44-1 (-24.19 Units -$131.17)
Other Play Totals 17-16-1 (-4.00 Units -$35.47)... Other Parlays 5-11-0 (-4.98 Units -$36.01)