Teflon Don said:
All credit to Dennistyler for discovering this trend a little while ago.
In Zack Greinke's starts since 2011, his teams are 28-1 as a favorite of more than -140 coming off of a loss. This yields an ROI of +49.4%. For the runline, his teams are 20-9 in this spot for a similar ROI of 48.6%.
So, Better team + Motivated team + Zack Grienke = W
Doesn't apply today, but slim chance it hits -140 later....
Because of variance, I would be apprehensive to back this angle at this point.
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If he was 1-29 in this spot, would you be apprehensive to back the Nats?
[/quote]Im a contrarian player, I'm sure our approach is very different, lol..
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I'm not sure why that's funny but yes, there is more than one way to skin a cat. All the best, "Don."