For those that might be interested. The full write up for our double dip today:
WAS vs CIN - 3 game series - 6:05 pm CT
Win Probability: The system that picks WAS is 71-2 since 2008. WP is set at 97.2%
Breakeven: The Nationals are -145 today with Fister and DeSclafani. Scherzer/Cueto tomorrow should be in the same -140 range and they are likely to be BIG favorites on Wednesday if they are about to be swept with the pitching matchup there. Hopefully it won't get that far, but if it does . . . potential losses are 15.5x chase amount. Average line set at -155. Breakeven is 94%.
Statistical Edge: The edge for this series is calculated at +3.2%
Results: With a WP over 97% and a positive edge, this series is a full system pick - BET - Wager accordingly.
CHC vs STL - 4 game series (Day/night doubleheader Tuesday)- 7:05pm CT
Win Probability: The system that picks CHC is 80-0 since 2008. WP is set conservatively at 98.8%
Breakeven: STL has killed RHP and been money at home. Today they go on the road to face a LHP . . . thus the line reflects that at -135. The pitchers for the 2nd game of the doubleheader are callups or undecided, so it is hard to get a read on the line there. Wacha will pitch in the finale. Conservatively, I am setting the average line for this series at -140. It should come in lower, but I cannot guarantee that. Potential losses are big because of the four game series and are set at 32x chase amount. Breakeven is 97%
Statistical Edge: The edge in this series is calculated at +1.8%
Results: estimates are conservative on both ends and we still have WP over 97% and a positive edge. This is a full system pick - BET - wager accordingly.
Two full system picks today. Good luck and thanks for reading!!