As I start to go through the stats for the NFL game tonight, I always think if there’s some angle, some way that Vegas pushes us to bet toward because after all Vegas doesn’t set lines for who they think will WIN but who they think people will BET…and then they build these huge buildings with the winnings!
So with that thought in mind, I look at the Dolphins vs Bengals and see that the line is Bengals -3 and a fair amount of money on the Bengals. However, if the Dolphins are struggling so much and the Bengals are so good, blowing out the Jets last week…are they the sure winner? I think not. I am sitting here trying to see if I can put enough arguments together to take the Dolphins as the HOME DOG or if I want to tease the Dolphins to +10 along with the Bills on Sunday to +10/10.5 (I do think the Bills give KC all they want this weekend and perhaps even their first loss, but I will be on the Bills on Sunday @ +3.5 without much thought). Of course there are several games we COULD tease along with the Dolphins, but I just really like the Bills in that spot as a nice combination.
So back to tonight…let’s do 1X play on the Dolphins/Bills Teaser explained above and 1X on the Dolphins +3. That way we get a shot on the home dog, but in the case that Tannehill can’t hold onto the ball (as he has been struggling), we just need the Dolphins to lose by less than 10.
I’m going to start on the NCAAF card now and have a couple plays I’m breaking down.
If I play anything else, I’ll post to my Twitter (dmak1313).
Good luck and as always, let’s cash $$$$.