Attached are my updated power ratings on every team, showing their rating to start the year, along with their rating last week, and their current rating. Additionally, I show each team's Home Field Advantage (a blank HFA indicates an average HFA). To calculate a spread, take the difference between the teams, and adjust for HFA. Note, if your calculated point spread is above 7, it typically requires a small adjustment downward, to reflect the 4th quarter of most of these games being more of a pk'm type situation.
Note, most handicappers use 3 for an average HFA. Recent data (the last 3 years) suggests 2.5 MAY be a more accurate number.
QB Adjustments this week:
Buffalo Manuel 2 point downgrade
Ten Cassel 4.5 point downgrade
Jets Fitzpatrick 1 point upgrade
Oak McGloin 5 point downgrade
Pit with Landry Jones and lots of backups. I made them an X. Next week make them +5.
Pit is a +5 at full strength. Since they are resting so many players this week, I made them an X.
On the capping front, I have FIRED on the SIDE and TOTAL on the Nwu/Pit CFB game. I have been on a monster 2* run, let's keep it rolling!
Steve Fezzik - Only 2-Time SuperContest Champion | @FezzikSports
Is Pit still ranked a 5 with Landry Jones starting?
Pit is +5 at full strength.
I did not rate them this week, with so many likely backups and uncertainty.
How much (if any) have you taken into account motivated vs. unmotivated teams in these rankings? Or is that generally not something that has a significant impact at this point?