I hate to call it free - but it is, I suppose. That would imply that not everything is, so I'm just sharing a small bet I made is all.
478 DEN-7.0 (-135) Pinnacle vs 477 HOU |
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Analysis: I'm not going to get cute and am paying to buy to -7. I had gone back and forth and forth and back - we know the whole Kubiak thing - in fact, usually on MNF there's not much we DON'T know or that ISN'T talked about. Yes, Osweiler will want to impress - but he can't - the Broncos defense isn't QUITE as stout as it was last year, but remember they've only had Miller for a couple of games. I don't like the WR matchup for the Texans at all, as it's youth for Houston against experience for Denver. However, what tipped me here was in fact Osweiler - he's thrown 8 TD's and 8 picks (not cool) but most importantly in his only two road games (yes, NE and Minnesota, two good defenses) his passer rating was 60.6 or less in both of them. His QBR was basically nil. He's the one that's going to have to carry Houston, because Denver will commit everything to stopping Houston's rushing game (111 yards per game and better than Denver's STD) - and I don't think Osweiler can get it done. I'm not going overboard here....
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