The 1st column is my rating the beginning of the year
2nd column last week's rating.
3rd column the current rating as of 9/30
4th column is home field edge if not 3
(0 means average team. -2 means two points worse than average. 2 means two points better than average. Starting point for spread is difference between numbers plus home field.)
|
Sept 5 |
Sept 22 |
Sept 29
|
|
|
|
Week1
|
Week3 |
Week 4
|
HFA |
|
Arizona |
0.5 |
1.5 |
3.5 |
3.5 |
|
Atlanta |
-0.5 |
0 |
2 |
|
|
Baltimore |
3 |
0.5 |
0 |
|
|
Buffalo |
1 |
0 |
2.5 |
|
|
Carolina |
-1.5 |
0.5 |
0 |
|
|
Chicago |
-6 |
-8 |
-11 |
2 |
|
Cincy |
2.5 |
3.5 |
4 |
3.5 |
|
Cleveland |
-4 |
-5 |
-7 |
|
|
Dallas |
2.5 |
-5 |
-5 |
2 |
|
Denver |
5 |
3 |
4.5 |
|
|
Detroit |
1.5 |
-0.5 |
-2.5 |
|
|
Green Bay |
6 |
6 |
6.5 |
4 |
|
Houston |
-1 |
-2.5 |
-2 |
|
|
Indy |
4 |
1 |
1 |
|
|
Jax |
-6.5 |
-6 |
-8 |
2 |
|
KC |
1.5 |
3 |
3 |
|
|
Mia |
2 |
1 |
-1 |
2 |
|
Minny |
0 |
0 |
1 |
|
|
NEW Eng |
6 |
7 |
8.5 |
4 |
|
New Orl |
0 |
OFF |
OFF
|
|
|
NYG |
-3 |
-3.5 |
-2 |
2 |
|
NYJ |
-2 |
0.5 |
0 |
2 |
|
Oakland |
-6 |
-4.5 |
-3 |
|
|
Philly |
3 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
|
Pit |
2.5 |
3 |
-4 |
|
|
SD |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0 |
|
|
SF |
-6 |
-4 |
-8 |
2 |
|
Sea |
7 |
5 |
7 |
4 |
|
St. Louis |
-1 |
-1 |
-2 |
2 |
|
Tampa |
-6 |
-6 |
-6 |
2 |
|
Ten |
-5 |
-3 |
-3 |
2 |
|
Wash |
-6 |
-3.5 |
-5.5 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
What does everyone think? Who is too high? Too low?
On the capping front, my 3* CFB best bet is UP, and i am releasing my two NFL TOTALS best bets today!
http://bit.ly/1dO56ZY