According to your Analysis when ever the Pats Win by a small margin over a weak team you conclude OH THEY TOOK A GAME OFF.
When Pats lose a game OH THEY TOOK A GAME OFF.
Based on that we are suppose to back the pats. So they played who's to say the trend doesn't continue about the pats TAKING ANOTHER GAME OFF.
What about the fact when they smoked the Vikings they received 4 turnovers and the Pats really scored 1 offensive touchdown. Pats played the Raiders and needed help from Officials to beat the Raiders and when the dolphins played the same common opponent ( Raiders) on a neutral field dolphins scored an Extra 3 touchdowns on them. Wait a Second the pats offense only played offense the first 2 quarters off the season than they took the last 10 quarters off. Brady has only 1 completion over 20 yards. So your analysis says he's been resting his arm for Monday night.
I need more relevant information to bet the Pats ( other than THEY TOOK THE GAME OFF). Falcons were -3 as Road Favorite this week , so were the Saints -3 we all know how that ended. Oh Yeah they both took the game off. This is the NFL no team takes a game off the other team pounds and makes it look like you took the game off.
Give us relevant info.