Had a nice winner on Thursday night and I hope to keep it going today. BOL everyone. More in the morning
TOP PLAYS
4 UNIT PLAY
(Risking $40.00 To Win $36.36) 6 Point Teaser Green Bay -1.5 & New England +.5
3 UNIT PLAYS
(Risking $30.00 To Win $27.27) Seattle/ San Diego Over 44: It just has the feel of a shootout. The Seahawk defense is tough, but away from home they will allow more points than at home and I do see a desperate Chargers offense throwing everything they can at the Seahawks in this one and at home the Chargers offense is usually very good, The Sehawk offense hasn't been stopped in the preseason or the regular season after game one, as they have vowed to open up the offense more this year and it seems to be working. they will be taking on a Chargers defense that may be a bit tired after playing a game in Arizona and then coming back on a short week. Let's also note that in the the Over is 19-4 last 4 years when all non-divisional home teams are off a road Monday night game that went Under the Total, plus the Over is 8-0 in week two of the season for San Diego, with an average of 56.4 ppg being scored. I see this one in the 50's as well.
(Risking $30.00 To Win $27.27) Houston/ Oakland Under 40: The Raiders offense is bad and they struggled vs the Jets last week and now face a Houston defense that may be better than that. Last year the numbers for the Texans defense showed a rather bad defense, but it wasn't all their fault as they were put in bad situations from their offense, plus the points allowed was skewed a bit by all the pick-sixes that Schaub threw. This was not a bad defense last year and they showed that in game 1 vs the Skins. They should have just as good a showing in this one. The Houston offense is not very explosive and will use their run game allot which should eat clock. Ryan Fitzpatrick is a solid QB, but not a great deep threat QB. Both teas will have to work the long field with time consuming drives in order to score. Very hard to see more than 35 points in this one.
(Risking $30.00 To Win $27.00) San Francisco/ Chicago Under 48: The Bears do have an explosive offense, but not today as it looks as if at least one of the big WRs will be sidelined for this one, while the other is not at 100%. That should mean allot of running by Matt Forte, which will in turn keep the clock moving. On the other side we have a San Francisco team that will look to pound away all day at a Chicago run defense tat was last in the league vs the rush last year and then allowed the Bills 193 yards rushing in their opener. The Niners first team offense didn't look good in the preseason and even though they put up 28 points last week vs Dallas, they were set up with short fields, had a defensive TD and put up just 316 yards in the game. Very hard to see this one as a high scoring affair, especially with allot of running from both teams.
BEST OF THE REST
(Risking $12.00 To Win $10.91) Cleveland/ New Orleans Under 48.5: The Cleveland Brown will not score a ton of points by throwing the ball this year and you have to expect the Saints to wanna come out with a better defensive effort than they did last week, when they were torched by the Falcons for 500+ yards. The Browns just pounded away for 183 yards on the ground last week and will look to do so here as they are depleted at WR and neither Hoyer or Manziel are capable of big passing day. allot of running will keep the clock moving and the Saints offense on the sidelines. New Orleand has a high scoring offense for sure, but they will be facing a better defense this week than they did last week. The Brown did struggle some on defense last week vs Big Ben, but still this is the strength of their team and I expect a good effort from them in this one. I look for no more than 42 points here.
(Risking $25.00 To Win $22.73) St Louis/ Tampa Bay Under 38: Just can't pass up Unders when these two teams are on the field and it's even better when they are facing each other. Last week the Rams had no offense at all and that was vs a very mediocre Minnesota defense. Now they face a much better defense and again without out Sam Bradford, who is out for the year. Shaun Hill have a decent game, but still he also threw two picks in the game and st Louis struggled in the scoring zone, having no TDs and just 2 FGs. The Tampa Bay offense really struggled vs the Panthers defense and will be taking on maybe a better front wall than that one in this one. Josh McCown is not a very good NFL QB and while he did throw 2 TDs last week, he also had 2 INTs and threw for just 183 yards. Last week the Buccaneers had 102 yards rushing in the game, but only ran the ball 17 times. I expect them to run allot more in this one, which will help the clock keep running. Two nice angels help us here and that is that the last 8 years Game two rord teams who scored 6 or less in game 1 have gone 7-0 to the Under, while game two home faves with an OU line of under 40 have gone 9-1-1 to the Under the last 5 years. Lower 30s at best here.
(Risking $26.00 To Win $20.00) 10 Point Teaser Dallas +13 & Giants +10 & Detroit +12.5
(Risking $15.00 To Win $13.64) Minnesota/ New England Over 48.5: NFC home Underdogs vs an AFC team are 25-1 to the Over the last 4 years. This game should have been rated higher, but the loss of AP has the play rated lower. It Actually may help the over more as now the Vikings will have to throw more, but I will play it safe here.
(Risking $12.00 To Win $10.91) New England -4.5 Over MINNESOTA
(Risking $15.00 To Win $13.64) Dallas/ Tennessee Under 49.5
(Risking $26.00 To Win $20.00) 10 Point Teaser Denver -2.5 & Houston +7 & San Francisco +3
NFL 2014
Top Plays Overall 3-3-0 (-0.90 Units... -$13.19)... 4 Unit 0-0-0 (-0.0 Units... $0.00)
Top Play Totals 3-2-0 (+2.40 Units... -$16.81)... Power Angel Plays 0-1-0 (-3.30 Units... -$35.00)... Top Play Teasers 0-1-0 (-3.30 Units... -$30.00)
Best Of The Rest Plays Overall 5-5-0 (-1.00 Units... +$1.00)
Best Of The Rest Totals 2-0-0 (+4.0 Units... +$36.36)... Best Of The Rest Teasers 2-1-0 (+1.80 Units... +$17.73)