Tough audience.
S.F./Seattle - the consensus I've gotten from all of the discussion is that the Seattle home field trumps any advantage S.F. may have and I guess you can't argue with their record there. All I've done with this game is the Over 28 1/2 on a fairly silly and small 10 1/2 teaser, paired with NE +15 and NE/Denver Over 44 1/2. Kaepernick and what S.F. does offensively -- you'd think they have to do something different because of the last two results in Seattle but OTOH, Crabtree is in the mix now -- is a real wildcard in this game. I'll be looking at the Kaepernick rushing prop which I'm guessing will be around 37. Have gone Over with him in SB/playoff games and done 3/4. I'm assuming Seattle will play it conservatively on offense again because their defense is so good - unless they get behind. Because of their weak receiving corp, they are probably not a good catch-up team so they don't really want to get behind. These are two good defenses and if I were OC's for either team, I would open it up a bit more in this game, to have a better chance of not letting predictability get your offense stuffed. Don't wait until you have to throw, too many times. Keep them off balance so, do it a little differently here. Hopefully the stadium will hold up to all of that stomping and crowd noise - I have been there and it is amazingly loud and shaky.
Denver/NE - I really like NE +15 on the teaser and probably anything over 10. I think that, Manning legend aside, you really have to question whether Denver is even a better team than NE, overall. Not so sure on the Over here as Manning will not be padding his stats in this game (unless they get up by 31 :)
And just for more grins - the ML parlay of S.F. and NE has a decent payoff and I have a few bucks on that.
GL.