Cashed in last week with our 3*** Teaser / Tampa & Buffalo
6.5 Tease
Jaguars +15.5
The Jacksonville Jaguars have looked pretty bad so far this year..Well that's what most bettors think because the last thing they saw was Tom Brady torching this team in Foxboro..Fact is the Jags played two good games to open up the year..Still a young club with a ton of improvement needed..Jags took care of a suspect Miami team, but that win IMO speaks volumes of the upside for this club..Jags have been working out the kinks for the most part and i think this week they will give the Colts some trouble..Indy hasn't been very good either..This Indy team could very well could be 0-3...Now Indy will be at home and they tend to play better in Lucas Oil...The Indy secondary and O-Line has me concerned however..Andrew Luck is banged up and the offensive line has given up a total of 5 sacks on the year..The sacks are not the big issue though..The QB hurries and hits have been rather constant...Luck has a total of 7 Int's this year and it looks like he is tired of getting hit..He is forcing the ball play after play..The WR & TE's are not hitting the marks and the ball is off target in many attempts...Luck is listed as (Day-To-Day)...He should play, and i expect him too....Colts Pass defense ranks 21st in the league right now..The backend has a ton of injuries and teams are exposing this secondary now....Indy has lost games to Buffalo and the Jets, and a near disaster last week Vs. the Titans..So laying a nice number here of +15.5 seems a bit tough....We talk often about playing on teams coming off a blowout loss..We have that with the Jags..The Jags have been the beating post of the NFL for years..I do however think this is the best Jags team they have had in years..It takes time to get the ship right and the Jags are spreading the ball around to the playmakers....Jags passing attack ranks 20th & Indy ranks 14th...Bortles has half the amount of Int's that Luck has...Jags rushing attack ranks 23rd, while Indy ranks 19th....On the defensive side of the ball Jags rushing defense is ranked 12th & Indy is ranked 20th....Pass defense Jags 25th & Indy 21st...Don't forget that the Jags played Tom Brady, Cam Newton, Ryan Tannehill.....Colts defense has seen Fitzpatrick, Mariota, Taylor....So on paper these teams are rather close...On the field we give the edge to Indy for sure...Jags with +15.5 is a steal IMO...I get over the key numbers and i get a team that is coming off a blowout loss...Jags defensive front has produced 6 sacks and Indy just 4...Give me the +15.5 here with the Jags to keep this one close..We get the backdoor wide open here with a number of 15.5....Jags might make this one interesting.
Cardinals - 0.5
Rams have shown little this season...Coming off two straight losses i expect them to bring all of what they have..I doubt it will be enough here on the road..AZ is one of the hardest places for visiting teams to pull out a win...Rams just lost at home to a Pitt team that scored 12 points and lost it's starting QB...Rams managed just 6 points..The week before they lost to the Redskins on the road..It was predicted for the most part, but a showing of just 10 points ont he board is something to be alarmed about...Rams are banged up across the board and AZ looks like a top team right now...Rams ranked 25th in the pass on offense, and AZ ranks 10th...Az in the rush offense ranks 11th and the Rams 29th...It's clear as day which team is better here..I get the Cards at home and all we need to do is win the game..Palmer has looked very good this year and the package of WR & TE's that AZ will throw at the Rams will be tough to defend...AZ wins the turnover battle here IMO...I can't trust the Rams on the road in this place to pull out a win.