Still looking to turn my NFL season around. I hope it starts today. BOL Everyone.
TOP PLAYS
3 UNIT PLAYS
Miami/ Jacksonville Under 42.5: The Jacksonville offense has been non-existent all year long, but their defense has been on fire of late, allowing just 13 ppg in their last 3 games. Last week the Jacksonville defense held a hot Cleveland offense to just 6 points in the game. On offense the Jags have been held to 19 points or less in 9 of their last 10 games, dating back to the preseason. This is not a good offense at all. They did score 24 points last week, but that was vs a bad Cleveland defense and now they will take on a Miami defense that ranks 4th in yards allowed and 3rd vs the pass. On offense the Fish are a rather average team, but they are 4th in rushing and that should mean plenty of clock moving plays. Let’s also note that Miami has averaged just 18.5 ppg on the road. The last 5 meetings between these teams has seen no more than 34 points scored and this one may just be that low scoring as well.
Chicago/ New England Over 51: The Chicago Bears are a mess between the ears right now, but getting out on the road and away from the pressures of home should help them here, as they will look to just play football and let it all hang out. The Bears do have a solid offense, especially on the road, where they have averaged 26.5 ppg, scoring 24 or more in all 4 of their road games so far. Also helping the Bears offense is the fact that Jerrod Mayo and Chandler Jones will be both out for the Patriots in this one and they did struggle last week with just Mayo missing vs a much weaker Jets offense. The Pats offense has been humming of late, averaging 408 ypg and 35.7 ppg in their last 3 games, while Chicago comes in having allowed 27.3 ppg in their last 4 games. The over is 5-1 in the Bears last 6 road games and 15-3 in the Pats last 18 home games vs a team with a losing record. This game should be a shootout.
Seattle -5.5 over CAROLINA: In the College Ranks Alabama was questioned by many about if their time is done, especially after they just beat Arkansas by only 1 point. Well they went out and crushed Texas A&M the next week by a 59-0 score. In the NFL the Packers were angry over their start and Aaron Rodgers told them to relax and they have now won 4 in a row and crushed both Chicago and Minnesota to start the 4 game win streak. Next the Pats fans were upset over their start and they went out and pounded the Bengals 43-17, followed by a 37-22 win at Buffalo. Ya know where I'm going with this? Yes I feel the Seattle Seahawks will rise up and take care of business here. they are still one of the 4 best team in the league and getting away from the pressures of home they will beat up on a Carolina Panthers team that has been disappointing this year and has been hit hard by injuries. The Panther defense has been awful of late, allowing 37.3 ppg and the Seahawks will look to take advantage of that. The Seahawks are 12-4 ARS in their last 16 on the road and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in this series. Seattle should roll here.
6 Point Teaser: Patriots PK & Baltimore/ Cincinnati Under 51.5
BEST OF THE REST
Philadelphia +1.5 Over ARIZONA: The money is coming in on the Eagles here and I will follow it. Philadelphia is one of the best teams in the league right now and are playing with a ton of confidence, especially after blanking the Giants 27-0 in their last game. The Cardinals are also playing with confidence right now as they lead the NFC West with a 5-1 record and they do have a solid defense, but in their only game vs a high powered offense (Denver) they did allow 41 points. I do not think the Cardinals will come up with enough points to win this one. I look for the Eagles to steal one out west.
Houston Tennessee Under 42
Detroit/ Atlanta Under 46.5
10 Point Teaser: Seattle +5 & Green Bay +12.5 & Indy/ Pitt Over 39
Buffalo/ Jets Under 40
Indianapolis/ Pittsburgh Over 48
Saints/ Packers Under 56 (Added)
NFL 2014
Top Plays Overall 19-26-2 (-29.0 Units)... 4 Unit 2-2-0 (-0.8 Units)
Top Play Totals 10-17-2 (-25.1 Units)... Power Angel Plays 0-2-0 (-6.6 Units)... Top Play Teasers 6-7-0 (-9.30 Units)
Best Of The Rest Plays Overall 25-34-1 (-24.8 Units)
Best Of The Rest Totals 9-14-1 (-12.8 Units)... Best Of The Rest Teasers 7-9-0 (-6.8 Units)