Codd, stating "I would give 1/5 odds that so and so did this" isn't making a claim. I never professed to know what he was doing before the videos. A claim would be me stating, "VR did this" which I did not post.
You can certainly disagree with my guess, but stating that "those claims are less than needed here" implies that you speak for rest of the community. I think that behavior is less than needed here on a website where posters can form their own opinions.