OK, so tonight we have a marquee matchup in the SEC between the third ranked Florida Gators and the Tennessee Volunteers. We look right now at the current line, which sits at Florida -2. Keep in mind that in the first game these two teams played on January 25th, the Gators absolutely destroyed the Volunteers 67-41. So we have a two point line in a game between two quality teams where the first game was decided by 26 points. Also, we currently have about 80% of the public backing the Gators as the short priced road favorite. Walmart must be having a big sale on CRAZY and we have lots of people stocking up....but it ain't gonna be the Sharps! Here are a few things to keep in mind with this game tonight...First, the Vols are 11-2 at home, 6-3 ATS in those games and are scoring almost 80 ppg. Conversely, the Gators (who can struggle to score at times) are only averaging 69 ppg away from the OCC. Second, everyone needs to remember who Florida plays this weekend...oh yeah, that program with 8 National Titles in Lexington, KY, and hosting College Game Day on Saturday! Look ahead spot for the Gators? Maybe and maybe not, but certainly worth considering. The Volunteers are sitting squarely on the "bubble" right now and need a marquee win in a league where you can't find lots of opportunities. Tonight is their night and we think that Tennessee takes care of the Gators at home. The Sharps say...
3 UNITS - TENNESSEE (+2)
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It's a complete TRAP tonight UD! Over 80% of the bets are on Florida, just what Vegas wants. I truly believe Tennessee wins outright tonight, but I don't mind getting two points either. BOL tonight!
Third year sports bettor NFL/ CFB/ CBB/ NBA. Always looking to learn, criticism always welcomed.
Thanks DJ...BOL to you as well! We think we have a solid play here, going for 8 in a row on Pregame tonight!
I respect your opinion on this game and it seems so logical . I just believe Florida is a final 4 team and they will gut it out tonight and pick up the W by 2 or more. I like to bet on or a coach or not against a good one. Donovan will have them ready.
Them home dawgs be winning, lol. Let's see if it keeps up.GL.
I would be careful, this looks just like the Uconn game on Sunday night - they blew out Central Florida by 20+ the first time they played and then Sunday played them at CF and the line was only 5.5 - Uconn ended up blowing them out again. Not saying Florida is the play but I wouldnt get caught up in all this Vegas is trapping you stuff! Im taking Florida and will take the risk with the better team, especially seeing the line is down to -.5 so money is coming in on TENN
I don't rate my plays, my plays are my plays. How can you like something more than something else? Doesn't that mean the smaller pick has doubt? If you have doubt, why bet? This is my opinion and this is how I roll! Follow or Fade I hope you make money!
Some serious RLM going on right now in this game...we may very well lose this game, but EVERY KEY VARIABLE we look at is screaming Tennessee tonight! Love what we are seeing...
hey dayton, free here. when comparing the last 4 games for each team the number came up fld. -2.10
when comparing the last 2 road games for fld and the last 2 home games for tenn the number came up tenn -1.50 and simply by the numbers this game is even and the home factor is a motivational factor for tenn
Thanks Free....good info!
jw in that conn/ cf game conn was what i thought the top game of the day. capping the last 4 games for each team the numbers came out favoring conn at -16.20 and when comparing the last 2 road games for cfld and the last 2 home games for conn the numbers came out favoring conn at -15.70. florida could win big again but if this game plays back to the numbers then i wouldnt even be suprised if this game goes into overtime.