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What to Expect as a Sports Bettor!

Thread Starter What to Expect as a Sports Bettor!
dmak13
Joined: 03/19/2011
Posts: 857
Professional
Not Ranked

Hey Guys –

 

First of all, let me say thanks for following along.  I know that I get annoying at times with all of my “join, join, join” etc. and I certainly get it.  Thanks for the support and as long as you follow along, if there’s anything I can do to help anyone, please let me know.  I’m just an email away & try to respond quickly and honestly.

 

I wanted to start dropping some information on now only my philosophy, but also help educate people from experiences I’ve had; both positive and negative in regards to the sports “market”.

 

Someone just asked me earlier today if they sign up for my services, if the prices include ALL picks or just “some picks” and if you wanted my MILLION DOLLAR LOCK OF THE MILLENIUM that would be $50 extra.  Someone else tweets me that they’re getting scammed by people who lie on their records, stop sending plays, etc.  And of course we have some of the biggest names in this business who block people when asked honest questions by people who sign up under the pretense of WINNING each and every day…then sign up, pay OVER $1,000 for an annual membership & have LOST money 5-6 weeks in a row.

 

All of this leads me into our topic…What to Expect as a Sports Bettor!

 

I can tell you from PERSONAL experience that I’ve WON thousands in one day and lost just as much.  After trials and tribulations, the ONLY thing that keeps me prosperous in this racket is DISCIPLINE, money-management, and patience.  That’s one thing I constantly preach to clients and I genuinely want to see people make $$$$ (regardless of whether you’re part of my service or not).  We are taught to be happy with a 10-15% ROI on stocks, and in the sports business, we can EASILY achieve 50%, 100%, 300%, etc.  But it takes time, discipline and patience.  Treat sports betting as a business, and it WILL pay like one, I promise you!

 

Questions I would like to touch on:

 

-          How much do PROFESSIONALS win? 

o   Okay…let’s break this down.  I HAVE to win 55% of the time, assuming 10% juice.  A good handicapper will get between 58% and 64% (64% very rare).  Anyone who tells you that they’re winning “43-1” type of results is flat out lying.  And then there is regression.  Have I won 80% for a couple weeks?  An entire playoffs?  Sure.  But regression comes and eventually that percent will be driven down to closer to the mean.  At NonStopSportsPicks.com we use a 1,2,3* betting system to weight plays based on confidence, edge, and statistical backing.  That has helped us achieve BETTER results in terms of money, while still hitting around 60%.  I always tell people go by the general rule: “If it seems too good to be true, it probably is”.  If someone tells you they can win 25 days in a row, 90% of the time, RUN…DON’T GIVE THEM YOUR MONEY!

 

-          How do I know about paying for a service?

o   I’m not a guy who will name drop, and my concern is WINNING; both for myself and my clients.  However, when choosing a service to sign-up for, I suggest due diligence.  Find someone who is honest.  Who is transparent.  Who is responsive.  Someone who CARES and VALUES your money.  And most of all, find someone who calls it as it is.  When I hear things like people going on “hot streaks” and asking for higher membership dues to continue service, it repulses me.  There ARE good people in this industry, although it’s few and far between.  But we are out there, and you DESERVE to get a service that you pay good money for.  Anyone who asks for MORE money….RUN!  Anyone who asks for extra to give the “locks of the millennium”….RUN.  Let’s face it…there ARE no locks.  There are edges, and sometimes the lines are OFF…but then athletes have to perform and there are always a multitude of OTHER factors.

 

In the end, if you took the time to read this, I would appreciate the feedback to let me know if this is helpful?  Would you LIKE to receive more articles from me posted on my website once a week or so?  Would you LIKE to learn about something specific?  I want EVERYONE to learn and make money…so anything I can answer I am here to do.  Shoot me a tweet, email me or use the “Contact Me” tab on the website.

 

I’m here to ADD value to this industry, NOT cheat people.  And anytime I can help, please let me know.

 

Best of luck,

 

dmak

Humility in Winning and Accountability in Losses.

For premium plays, follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/dmak1313

Website: NonStopSportsPicks.com

Lloyd Christmas
Joined: 07/22/2009
Posts: 5545
All Pro
Top 100 Contributor

The fact you think you have to win 55% to beat -110 and you think good handicappers win 58-64% of the time gives away you don't know as much as you think you do

You want a handicapping tip?  Spend as much time getting a good number as you do researching games. Depositing/withdrawing/depositing/withdrawing is a pain, but I guarantee you will lose less, or win more.  I can't guarantee that for any other piece of advice 

"There is no such thing as luck, just random fluctuations of probability"

dmak13
Joined: 03/19/2011
Posts: 857
Professional
Not Ranked

How about providing something value added Lloyd? You dissing someone does nothing constructive or to add value.

Humility in Winning and Accountability in Losses.

For premium plays, follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/dmak1313

Website: NonStopSportsPicks.com

PickNinja
Joined: 05/20/2014
Posts: 2731
All Pro
Top 500 Contributor

He is adding something of value. Your premise is completely off, there isn't anyone in the world hitting close to 64% long term. When your first point is nonsense its hard to take anything else you say seriously.

SportWinsLossesTiesWin %$ Won
CFB1417045.16-465.00
MLB908976748.202840.00
NBA117161.11328.00
NFL2316058.97440.00
NHL75058.3338.00
PickNinja
Joined: 05/20/2014
Posts: 2731
All Pro
Top 500 Contributor

Its 52.4% to break even. If you can find anyone consistently hitting 57.5% then ride them like a Pony because with proper money management you will be a millionaire

SportWinsLossesTiesWin %$ Won
CFB1417045.16-465.00
MLB908976748.202840.00
NBA117161.11328.00
NFL2316058.97440.00
NHL75058.3338.00
kwc2000
Joined: 01/28/2012
Posts: 6993
All Pro
Top 75 Contributor

Lloyd Christmas

The fact you think you have to win 55% to beat -110 and you think good handicappers win 58-64% of the time gives away you don't know as much as you think you do

I agree Lloyd, you can make plenty of money hitting 53.5 - 54% and 95% of the sports bettors wish the could attain that. Nobody hits at 58% - 64% with a decent sample size. Yes Ive hit at 60% of the course of a sport season and I had seasons where I hit at 55%-56% and it felt like I was crushing it

SportWinsLossesTiesWin %$ Won
CFB8361357.641578.00
MLB2531044.64-1206.00
NBA142118454.621267.00
NFL7862455.71725.00
NHL21066.6790.00
Lloyd Christmas
Joined: 07/22/2009
Posts: 5545
All Pro
Top 100 Contributor

dmak13

How about providing something value added Lloyd? You dissing someone does nothing constructive or to add value.

You're openly soliciting people to give you money to give them advice regarding sports betting.  When you are incorrect on something so basic, you're probably going to get called out 

You want a handicapping tip?  Spend as much time getting a good number as you do researching games. Depositing/withdrawing/depositing/withdrawing is a pain, but I guarantee you will lose less, or win more.  I can't guarantee that for any other piece of advice 

"There is no such thing as luck, just random fluctuations of probability"

Bryan Leonard
Joined: 09/02/2011
Posts: 2119
All Pro
Top 500 Contributor

As usual Lloyd is exactly right.

The Only Two Time Finalist in The $90,000 Cantor Football Showdown

Winner of the 2013 Gaming Today Brawl For It All Football Contest

Money management, line shopping and reading the betting markets are just as important as picking the right side.

Follow me on Twitter @BLeonardSports for interesting articles and late minute bets

ProfessorDonkey
Joined: 01/26/2010
Posts: 12667
All Pro
Top 50 Contributor

dmak13

Hey Guys –

 

First of all, let me say thanks for following along.  I know that I get annoying at times with all of my “join, join, join” etc. and I certainly get it.  Thanks for the support and as long as you follow along, if there’s anything I can do to help anyone, please let me know.  I’m just an email away & try to respond quickly and honestly.

 

I wanted to start dropping some information on now only my philosophy, but also help educate people from experiences I’ve had; both positive and negative in regards to the sports “market”.

 

Someone just asked me earlier today if they sign up for my services, if the prices include ALL picks or just “some picks” and if you wanted my MILLION DOLLAR LOCK OF THE MILLENIUM that would be $50 extra.  Someone else tweets me that they’re getting scammed by people who lie on their records, stop sending plays, etc.  And of course we have some of the biggest names in this business who block people when asked honest questions by people who sign up under the pretense of WINNING each and every day…then sign up, pay OVER $1,000 for an annual membership & have LOST money 5-6 weeks in a row.

 

All of this leads me into our topic…What to Expect as a Sports Bettor!

 

I can tell you from PERSONAL experience that I’ve WON thousands in one day and lost just as much.  After trials and tribulations, the ONLY thing that keeps me prosperous in this racket is DISCIPLINE, money-management, and patience.  That’s one thing I constantly preach to clients and I genuinely want to see people make $$$$ (regardless of whether you’re part of my service or not).  We are taught to be happy with a 10-15% ROI on stocks, and in the sports business, we can EASILY achieve 50%, 100%, 300%, etc.  But it takes time, discipline and patience.  Treat sports betting as a business, and it WILL pay like one, I promise you!

 

Questions I would like to touch on:

 

-          How much do PROFESSIONALS win? 

o   Okay…let’s break this down.  I HAVE to win 55% of the time, assuming 10% juice.  A good handicapper will get between 58% and 64% (64% very rare).  Anyone who tells you that they’re winning “43-1” type of results is flat out lying.  And then there is regression.  Have I won 80% for a couple weeks?  An entire playoffs?  Sure.  But regression comes and eventually that percent will be driven down to closer to the mean.  At NonStopSportsPicks.com we use a 1,2,3* betting system to weight plays based on confidence, edge, and statistical backing.  That has helped us achieve BETTER results in terms of money, while still hitting around 60%.  I always tell people go by the general rule: “If it seems too good to be true, it probably is”.  If someone tells you they can win 25 days in a row, 90% of the time, RUN…DON’T GIVE THEM YOUR MONEY!

 

-          How do I know about paying for a service?

o   I’m not a guy who will name drop, and my concern is WINNING; both for myself and my clients.  However, when choosing a service to sign-up for, I suggest due diligence.  Find someone who is honest.  Who is transparent.  Who is responsive.  Someone who CARES and VALUES your money.  And most of all, find someone who calls it as it is.  When I hear things like people going on “hot streaks” and asking for higher membership dues to continue service, it repulses me.  There ARE good people in this industry, although it’s few and far between.  But we are out there, and you DESERVE to get a service that you pay good money for.  Anyone who asks for MORE money….RUN!  Anyone who asks for extra to give the “locks of the millennium”….RUN.  Let’s face it…there ARE no locks.  There are edges, and sometimes the lines are OFF…but then athletes have to perform and there are always a multitude of OTHER factors.

 

In the end, if you took the time to read this, I would appreciate the feedback to let me know if this is helpful?  Would you LIKE to receive more articles from me posted on my website once a week or so?  Would you LIKE to learn about something specific?  I want EVERYONE to learn and make money…so anything I can answer I am here to do.  Shoot me a tweet, email me or use the “Contact Me” tab on the website.

 

I’m here to ADD value to this industry, NOT cheat people.  And anytime I can help, please let me know.

 

Best of luck,

 

dmak

 

 Cool Thanks for your insight, dmak ! Football is right around the corner and we need all the thoughts we can get!

UCLA's Brett Hundley for 2014 Heisman Trophy

Lloyd Christmas
Joined: 07/22/2009
Posts: 5545
All Pro
Top 100 Contributor

Soliciting people for your tout service while showing you don't understand basics of sports betting constitutes a positive constructive thought?  

You want a handicapping tip?  Spend as much time getting a good number as you do researching games. Depositing/withdrawing/depositing/withdrawing is a pain, but I guarantee you will lose less, or win more.  I can't guarantee that for any other piece of advice 

"There is no such thing as luck, just random fluctuations of probability"

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