*** Oscars Odds ***
Best Picture
La La Land -500
Moonlight 6/1
Hidden Figures 25/1
Manchester By The Sea 25/1
Lion 100/1
Arrival 100/1
Hacksaw Ridge 100/1
Fences 100/1
Hell or High Water 100/1
Best Director
Damien Chazelle (La La Land) -1600 ($16 risked wins $1)
Barry Jenkins (Moonlight) 12/1
Kenneth Lonergan (Manchester) 16/1
Mel Gibson (Hacksaw) 50/1
Denis Villenueve (Arrival) 66/1
Best Actor
Casey Affleck (Manchester) -150
Denzel Washington (Fences) +125
Ryan Gosling (La La Land) 16/1
Andrew Garfield (Hacksaw) 50/1
Viggo Mortensen (Captain Fantastic) 125/1
Best Actress
Emma Stone (La La Land) -600
Natalie Portman (Jackie) 7/1
Isabelle Huppert (Elle) 8/1
Ruth Negga (Loving) 50/1
Meryl Streep (Flo Foster Jenkins) 66/1
Best Supporting Actor
Mahershala Ali (Moonlight) -700
Dev Patel (Lion) 7/1
Jeff Bridges (Hell or High Water) 16/1
Lucas Hedges (Manchester) 20/1
Michael Shannon (Nocturnal Animals) 20/1
Best Supporting Actress
Viola Davis (Fences) -2500 ($25 risked wins $1)
Michelle Williams (Manchester) 20/1
Naomie Harris (Moonlight) 25/1
Nicole Kidman (Lion) 40/1
Octavia Spencer (Hidden Figures) 80/1
How Predictable are the Oscars?
The 6 major categories are listed above (four acting, picture, and director) …
82% chance that at least 5 of the 6 favorites win.
33% chance that a perfect 6 of the 6 favorites win.