Meatloaf sang " two out of three ain't bad". I suppose that's true in general but not when it comes to handicapping. Winning 67% of your bets and coming away with a modest profit (after the vig) is like getting a parking ticket. Ok it's better than losing two out of three but I digress.
Iowa didn't come close to covering the -14 at Rutgers after a dismal performance at home vs ND State. The Hawkeyes are clearly going to a minor bowl come December. Keep in mind this was a potential top 10 team preseason. I'd be lying if I said I wasn't disappointed in their performance. Now I know better. I have learned from my mistake.
The same thing happened on Sunday in the NFL. The "G" men came into the game 2-0 vs the 0-2 Redskins at home. They had won the last 4 in this series. Eli was in top form early on and jumped out to a 21-6 lead. Somewhere along the way the Giant's defense decided to give Kurt Cousins a second chance at life. BIG MISTAKE! By the time the 4th quarter rolled along they were behind 23-21. It's true the Giants got the lead back 24-23 ( I had them on the $$$ line). They still found a way to lose 29-27 when Eli couldn't get them into field goal position with 1:41 left on the clock. Another lesson learned!
I guess the moral of the story is "IF" is a big word. It is the difference between winning and losing not just as a team but as a handicapper. Here's a link to a song that I'm sure most of you young 'capper's have never heard. Please enjoy!