Vegas Rankings: CFB Dedicated Thread Week 15 - CFB - Forums

Thread Starter

Vegas Rankings: CFB Dedicated Thread Week 15

RJ_Bell

Joined: 06/21/2006

Posts: 14156

Rank NA

Add Friend | Follow

Posted

on Sun, Dec 2 2012 8:59 PM

TRUE POWER: How good Vegas thinks a team really is.

HOME-FIELD ADVANTAGE: The value of each team’s home field.

BETTOR BIAS: How many points the public overvalues (positive numbers) or undervalues (negative numbers) a team.

POINT-SPREAD POWER: The combination of True Power and Bettor Bias.

To calculate the projected winner of any matchup:

Take True Power (home team), ADD Home-Field Advantage and SUBTRACT True Power (away team).
To calculate the projected point spread of any matchup:

Replace the True Power with Point-Spread Power, which includes Bettor Bias, the same way the actual Vegas line does.

CFB Vegas Rankings – Week 15

		Home	True	Bettor	Spread
1	Alabama	5	100	2	102
2	Oregon	6	99	1.5	100.5
3	Texas A&M	4.5	94	0	94
4	Georgia	4	92.5	0	92.5
t5	Florida	4	91	0	91
t5	Kansas State	4.5	91	0.5	91.5
t5	LSU	5	91	0	91
t5	Oklahoma	5.5	91	0	91
9	Notre Dame	4	90.5	2	92.5
10	South Carolina	4.5	90	0	90
t11	Stanford	4.5	89.5	0	89.5
t11	Florida State	4	89.5	0	89.5
t13	Oklahoma St	4.5	87.5	0	87.5
t13	Clemson	5	87.5	0	87.5
15	Ohio State	5	87	1.5	88.5
16	UCLA	4	86	0	86
17	Oregon State	4	85	0	85
18	Nebraska	4.5	84.5	0	84.5
t19	Texas	4.5	84	0	84
t19	Wisconsin	5	84	0	84
t19	USC	3.5	84	0	84
22	Michigan	4.5	83.5	0	83.5
23	Penn State	5	82.5	0	82.5
t24	Utah State	3.5	82	0	82
t24	Boise State	4	82	0.5	82.5

Vegas Rankings voters include Chris Andrews (with over 30 years of Nevada bookmaking experience), and “Vegas Runner” (featured by ESPN, CBS This Morning, and CNBC for his professional betting success).

RJ Bell is the founder of Pregame.com (@RJinVegas)

---

RJ Bell: Best Bets | Free Picks | My Posts |My Blog |@Twitter
Called a "True Insider" by ESPN
Pick Virgins: $25 FREE! Buyers: 10% rebate!
I am a Pregame.com Director of the Boards!

RJ_Bell

Joined: 06/21/2006

Posts: 14156

Rank NA

Add Friend | Follow

Posted

on Sun, Dec 2 2012 9:01 PM

Vegas Runner's private numbers (@VegasRunner)

ALABAMA	100
OREGON	99
TEXAS A&M	96
NOTRE DAME	95
FLORIDA	94
LSU	94
GEORGIA	94
KANSAS ST	93.5
OKLAHOMA	93
OHIO ST	92.5
FLORIDA ST	92.5
SOUTH CAROLINA	92
STANFORD	91.5
CLEMSON	91
NEBRASKA	90
USC	90
OREGON ST	89
MICHIGAN	89
OKLAHOMA ST	88.5
TEXAS	88.5
WISCONSIN	88
UCLA	88
PENN ST	87.5
TCU	86
BOISE ST	86
ARIZONA ST	85.5
VANDERBILT	85
FRESNO ST	85
BAYLOR	85
BYU	85
N ILLINOIS	84.5
MISSISSIPPI ST	84.5
NORTHWESTERN	84
WEST VIRGINIA	84
NORTH CAROLINA	83.5

---

RJ Bell: Best Bets | Free Picks | My Posts |My Blog |@Twitter
Called a "True Insider" by ESPN
Pick Virgins: $25 FREE! Buyers: 10% rebate!
I am a Pregame.com Director of the Boards!

RJ_Bell

Joined: 06/21/2006

Posts: 14156

Rank NA

Add Friend | Follow

Posted

on Sun, Dec 2 2012 9:03 PM

Chris Andrews' private numbers (@AndrewsSports)

alphabetical

Air Force	67
Akron	53
Alabama	100
Arizona	79
Arizona State	80
Arkansas	75
Arkansas State	73
Army	59
Auburn	62
Ball State	71
Baylor	80
Boise State	80
Boston College	63
Bowling Green	66
Buffalo	59
BYU	79
California	69
Central Florida	75
Central Michigan	60
Cincinnati	76
Clemson	86
Colorado	49
Colorado State	55
Duke	69
East Carolina	67
Eastern Michigan	58
Florida	90
Florida Atlantic	62
Florida International	67
Florida State	88
Fresno State	78
Georgia	92
Georgia Tech	77
Hawaii	46
Houston	63
Idaho	46
Illinois	58
Indiana	67
Iowa	65
Iowa State	73
Kansas	62
Kansas State	90
Kent State	72
Kentucky	59
Louisiana	72
Louisiana-Monroe	69
Louisiana Tech	75
Louisville	75
LSU	90
Maryland	60
Marshall	62
Massachusetts	47
Memphis	50
Miami, Fla	75
Miami, Ohio	60
Michigan	81
Michigan State	79
Middle Tennessee	64
Minnesota	64
Mississippi	79
Mississippi State	78
Missouri	75
Navy	68
Nebraska	82
Nevada	70
New Mexico	58
New Mexico State	48
North Carolina	78
NC State	73
North Texas	59
Northern Illinois	79
Northwestern	77
Notre Dame	89
Ohio U	65
Ohio State	85
Oklahoma	90
Oklahoma State	87
Oregon	99
Oregon State	83
Pitt	74
Penn State	80
Purdue	66
Rice	64
Rutgers	73
San Diego State	74
San Jose State	76
South Alabama	57
South Carolina	89
South Florida	66
Southern Miss	54
SMU	68
Stanford	89
Syracuse	81
TCU	80
Temple	66
Tennessee	74
Texas	82
Texas A&M	93
Texas State	58
Texas Tech	76
Toledo	71
Troy	66
Tulane	55
Tulsa	75
UAB	55
UCLA	85
U Conn	68
UNLV	58
USC	81
Utah	74
Utah State	82
UTEP	59
UTSA	56
Vanderbilt	79
Virginia	69
Virginia Tech	75
Wake Forest	64
Washington	75
Washington State	60
West Virginia	80
Western Kentucky	69
Western Michigan	63
Wisconsin	82
Wyoming	60

---

RJ Bell: Best Bets | Free Picks | My Posts |My Blog |@Twitter
Called a "True Insider" by ESPN
Pick Virgins: $25 FREE! Buyers: 10% rebate!
I am a Pregame.com Director of the Boards!

RJ_Bell

Joined: 06/21/2006

Posts: 14156

Rank NA

Add Friend | Follow

Posted

on Sun, Dec 2 2012 9:04 PM

Chris Andrews' private numbers (@AndrewsSports)

best to worst

Alabama	100
Oregon	99
Texas A&M	93
Georgia	92
Florida	90
Kansas State	90
LSU	90
Oklahoma	90
Notre Dame	89
South Carolina	89
Stanford	89
Florida State	88
Oklahoma State	87
Clemson	86
Ohio State	85
UCLA	85
Oregon State	83
Nebraska	82
Texas	82
Utah State	82
Wisconsin	82
Michigan	81
Syracuse	81
USC	81
Arizona State	80
Baylor	80
Boise State	80
Penn State	80
TCU	80
West Virginia	80
Arizona	79
BYU	79
Michigan State	79
Mississippi	79
Northern Illinois	79
Vanderbilt	79
Fresno State	78
Mississippi State	78
North Carolina	78
Georgia Tech	77
Northwestern	77
Cincinnati	76
San Jose State	76
Texas Tech	76
Arkansas	75
Central Florida	75
Louisiana Tech	75
Louisville	75
Miami, Fla	75
Missouri	75
Tulsa	75
Virginia Tech	75
Washington	75
Pitt	74
San Diego State	74
Tennessee	74
Utah	74
Arkansas State	73
Iowa State	73
NC State	73
Rutgers	73
Kent State	72
Louisiana	72
Ball State	71
Toledo	71
Nevada	70
California	69
Duke	69
Louisiana-Monroe	69
Virginia	69
Western Kentucky	69
Navy	68
SMU	68
U Conn	68
Air Force	67
East Carolina	67
Florida International	67
Indiana	67
Bowling Green	66
Purdue	66
South Florida	66
Temple	66
Troy	66
Iowa	65
Ohio U	65
Middle Tennessee	64
Minnesota	64
Rice	64
Wake Forest	64
Boston College	63
Houston	63
Western Michigan	63
Auburn	62
Florida Atlantic	62
Kansas	62
Marshall	62
Central Michigan	60
Maryland	60
Miami, Ohio	60
Washington State	60
Wyoming	60
Army	59
Buffalo	59
Kentucky	59
North Texas	59
UTEP	59
Eastern Michigan	58
Illinois	58
New Mexico	58
Texas State	58
UNLV	58
South Alabama	57
UTSA	56
Colorado State	55
Tulane	55
UAB	55
Southern Miss	54
Akron	53
Memphis	50
Colorado	49
New Mexico State	48
Massachusetts	47
Hawaii	46
Idaho	46

---

RJ Bell: Best Bets | Free Picks | My Posts |My Blog |@Twitter
Called a "True Insider" by ESPN
Pick Virgins: $25 FREE! Buyers: 10% rebate!
I am a Pregame.com Director of the Boards!

	Privacy: 100% - No Spam Ever! Security: Yes - SSL encrypted! Satisfaction: Guaranteed! Pregame.com is located and licensed in Las Vegas, Nevada.
Pregame.com does not accept or place bets, and is NOT a gambling site.