NCAA Football - Week 5
Spread to bet now:
Fresno State at UNLV (-9.5)
This line opened -7 and was quickly bet up to -10.5, but has now come back down a bit. It will likely rise higher again later this week. UNLV will be in a foul mood after losing 33-30 as a 14.5-point home favorite last week. The Rebels held a 539-378 total yards edge, but suffered from a 2-1 turnover deficit which included an Idaho interception touchdown return.
Fresno State is 1-3 SU this season, losing their two road games by 33 and 35 point margins. Fresno also lost a high-scoring 48-41 game at home versus Tulsa last week which might leave the Bulldogs a bit drained this week. Fresno State has been out-scored 13.5-47.5 on the road this season while being out-gained 264-512 in total yards (4.3-7.0 yards per play).
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Spread to wait on:
UL Monroe (+32.5) at Auburn
This line opened +33.5 and has dropped a point, however the public will likely jump on board and push this line higher later this week, especially after watching Auburn defeat LSU last Saturday. However, this is a major flat spot for the Tigers. They go from being a 3-point home underdog to a huge home favorite, plus Auburn has a major look-ahead game on deck at Mississippi State next week.
Auburn has scored 18 points or less in three of their four games this season. UL Monroe is only 1-2 SU, but they are 3-0 ATS as they've been competitive. The Warhawks also have the advantage of a bye week entering this game with extra time to rest and prepare as a big underdog. UL Monroe has averaged 6.0 yards per play (versus opponents that allow just 5.9 yppl), while the Warhawks defense has permitted only 5.8 yards per play (versus opponents that average 6.1 yppl).
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Total to watch:
North Carolina at Florida State (70)
Florida State bounced back from their 63-20 loss at Louisville with a solid 55-35 win at South Florida last week. The Seminoles have a powerful offense that has scored at least 45 points or more in three of their four games this season. However, their defense has been suspect, allowing 34 points or more in three of their four games. Overall, the Seminoles' four games have averaged 78.0 total points this season.
North Carolina's offense started slowly against Georgia in the first game, but they have come alive since, scoring at least 37 points or more in their past three games. The Tar Heel's defense has struggled, allowing 28 points or more in three of their four games this year. Overall, North Carolina's four games have averaged 71.2 total points this season.
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Perfect 7-0 (100%) Football run continues here:
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