ive seen a couple other threads now, and the lines drawn mostly resolve around what FSU had done in the past and what capabilities it seems Louisville can bring to the table.
at 1-6 ATS this year you almost have to wonder why the noles are even a favourite, yet they are 7-0 straight up. a myriad of public problems with high profile players. a defense I feel is questionable due to lack of getting pressure on qbs thus allowing some big pass plays. heading into cardinals house with a true line of 7 on neutral? this is a tough call on who wins
however......I don't feel this is a tough call on the line. if the ville can shut fsu under 24 points they will do it off turnovers and they should have enough scoring opportunities to win. if fsu puts up 31 or more the ville may not be able to keep up and the rat race ends fsu up between 10 and 14 point win.
I remember in baseball season learning from several seasoned cappers that there are two ways to approach a streak. bet on it to end which is a one time event or bet on it to continue until it snaps. obviously in this case its not a winning streak that can be put against that atrocious ats record. but against their straight up wins and a spread that I think is too low I think the best play on this game is
305 Florida State* -3½ -110 1 unit
305 Florida State/Louisville* Over 50½ -110 1 unit
and parlayed for 1 unit