Toledo has been waiting for this night. The Rockets are 0-5 against Northern Illinois over the past 5 seasons. Prior to these 5 seasons, Toledo dominated going 17-5. Toledo comes into this game very hot. They are 7-0 SU on the year and an impressive 6-0-1 ATS! Toledo has scored 114 points in their past two games! Northern Illinois is no slouch. They come in on a roll as they have won their last 3 games. They have scored 94 points!
The difference here is when the teams played quality opponents, Toledo has won the games! Toledo has beaten Arkansas, Iowa St and Arkansas St. On the other hand, N. Illinois lost to Ohio St, Boston College and C. Michigan. Toledo is also blowing out teams they are supposed to beat. Toledo is +92 points against the spread!
The numbers are all in favor of Toledo. They have advantages in Rushing even though NI is 20th rush offense. Scoring, Turn Overs and 1st downs all favor Toledo. Intangibles like time of possession, pressure, field position favor Toledo too. Toledo has revenge and MAC lead for motivation edges. The trends favor Toledo as well.
TAKE: TOLEDO -7