Very mediocre week last week. Lets get it back this week. I will add Friday's play on Thursday. BOL everyone.
TOP PLAYS
3 UNIT PLAYS
Florida State/ Louisville Over 50.5: Im gonna look at the Over in this game. You read that right. The Cardinals have played great defense this year, but they haven't really been tested by an offense of this caliber just yet. The Noles offense hasn't been as explosive as last year's group, but still they have put up 31 points or more in 6 of their 7 games this year. For Louisville, they have not been a strong offensive team this year, but they are now healthy with Parker back and Dyer also in good form, plus Petrino is an offensive coach and I expect him to go right at this Florida State defense that has struggled at times, allowing 31 to Oklahoma State, 41 to NC State and 27 to Notre Dame. This should be a close game, but should also be a higher scoring game than some might think. I look for at least 55 points in this one.
Georgia Southern/ Troy Over 63: These lower tier NCAA teams don't often get on national TV, but when they do they have been pulling out all the stops to put on a good show and I expect that here as well. Georgia Southern has one of the best offenses in the nation, averaging 44.8 ppg and they will be facing a horrible Troy defense that has allowed 39 ppg. Normally when I know a team will run allot I don't like the Over, but this is different as the eagles have piled up their points with the top rushing attack in the nation and will be facing a Troy defense that is 120th in the nation vs the run. Last week the Eagles scored 60 points on Georgia State and threw the ball just 6 times in the game for 47 yards. Wow. Troy is not a good offensive team, but they will be facing a Georgia Southern defense that has allowed 27.7 ppg in their last 3 games. I can see Troy getting at least 24 points here, while Georgia southern should hit the 50 point mark. Mid 70's here.
BEST OF THE REST
MEMPHIS -24 over Tulsa: The Tigers are playing solid ball right now and they have the kind of defense that should really keep the Golden Hurricane in check. Tulsa’s big issues this year have been on the defensive side of the ball, where they have allowed a whopping 40.7 ppg and the Tigers can certainly take advantage of that, having scored 35.7 ppg on the year. Memphis has allowed just 15 ppg at home, while Tulsa has allowed 42.3 ppg on the road. This is a bad Tulsa team this year and they just won’t score nearly enough or get enough stops to keep this one within 4 TDs.
Cincinnati/ Tulane Under 57.5: Tulane can’t score right now as they have averaged just 11 ppg in their last 4 games, and this Cincinnati defense is coming around, having allowed just 20 total points in their last 2 games. The Bearcats have a weak run defense and that is where Tulane will look to attack them, which will keep the Cincinnati offense off the field and eat clock. That Bearcats offense is high powered for sure, but Tulane has allowed just 20.3 ppg at home this year and just 18 ppg in their last 3 games overall. I think their defense can slow the Bearcats down here enough to keep this game in 40’s.
10 Point Teaser: Florida State +7 & Georgia Southern -17 & Cincinnati +3.5
CFB 2014
Top Plays Overall 29-29-1 (-11.3 Units)... 4 Unit 1-3-0 (-9.2 Units)
Top Play Totals 17-19-0 (-13.8 Units)... Power Angle Plays 4-1-0 (+9.7 Units)... Top Play Teasers 2-2-0 (-0.6 Units)
Best Of The Rest Plays Overall 62-60-2 (-8.00 Units)
Best Of The Rest Totals 33-27-1 (+5.4 Units)... Best Of The Rest Teasers 13-21-0 (-22.4 Units)