I finished 4-2 in my weekday plays. I hope to keep it going today. BOL Everyone. Ok I think Im Final. LOL
TOP PLAYS
3 UNIT PLAYS
POWER ANGLE PLAY
ALABAMA -13 over Texas A&M: The last couple of year the Tide has really struggled with this Aggies team, but that was with Johnny Football at QB. Now Kenny Hill is the QB and while he had a great start to his season, he has shown the last few weeks that maybe he is just not as good as that start showed. Now he faces a very tough Bama defense that will be looking for some payback after allowing Texas A&M to put up 71 points on them the last 2 years combined. The Aggie defense looked very good earlier in the year vs some weak competition, but in their last 3 games vs stronger offenses they have allowed 460 ypg and 37 ppg. The Tide's offense has sputtered in the last two weeks but this still is a very good offense that ranks 20th in total yards and averages 33.2 ppg. The Tide has not played very well overall in their last 2 games and I feel they will take it out on the Aggies in this one. The Tide is still in the thick of the playoff race and will get back on track with a win of at least 17 points. POWER ANGLE FOR THIS PLAY: The Aggies are 0-18 ATS as road dogs after being in the role as a home favorite.
Akron/ Ohio Under 42: This game figures to be a very low scoring game as both offenses have struggled this year, but the defenses haven't been all that bad. Akron comes in having scored 60 points in their last two games, but that was vs Miami-Oh and Eastern Michigan's defenses, plus it was also with QB Pohl, who is listed as doubtful in this game. On defense, the Zips have been very solid and have allowed just 11.2 ppg in games they have played vs teams NOT named Marshall. This is a very good defense and without Pohl in their on offense they will be a very conservative group as well. Ohio put up 70 points combined vs FCS Foe Eastern Illinois and FBS weakling Idaho, but in their other 5 games they have averaged just 11.4 ppg in their other 5 games. I can see both teams having problems scoring in this one as we get a game in the lower 30's at best.
North Carolina/ Georgia Tech Over 70: North Carolina has already played 4 games in the 80s or higher this year and this one could be another. The Heels run a high tempo explosive offense that has averaged 433 ypg and 37 ppg. Last week they hung 43 points on one of the best defenses in the nation, but unfortunately for them their defense allowed 50. The defense has been a sore spot for this team all year as they have allowed 50+ points 3 times so far, on their way to allowing 508 ypg and 43.3 ypg for the year. This is a bad defense. Georgia Tech comes in averaging 33 ppg, so I do look for them to get plenty of points tonight vs this very bad defense. The Ga Tech defense is very average, but few teams have stopped the Heels this year and I don't expect them to be able to do so here. Punters can take the day off as this one hits 75+ points.
Stanford/ Arizona State Under 54: Last week the Stanford defense kept a high powered Washington State offense in check as they allowed just 266 yards and 17 points in the game. The Cardinal have now allowed just 238 ypg (2nd in nation) and 10 ppg (1st in nation), and have yet to allow more than 17 points in a game thus far. Arizona State averages 41.2 ypg, but have yet to face a defense close to the one they are facing tonight. They did put 38 on USC last week, but we have seen that the USC defense is not as good as thought to be entering the year. The Sun Devil defense is very bad, but Stanford does run a conservative ball control offense, which will keep the clock rolling and keep that high powered ASU offense on the sideline where they can't do any damage. The Under is 11-1 in Stanford's last 12 games vs a team with a winning record and 6-1 in their last 7 road games. Both trend should continue here as this one is played in the 40's.
Tennessee/ Ole Miss Under 46: This Ole Miss defense is for real, as they come in ranked 13th in total yards and 2nd in points allowed giving up just 11.8 ppg. At home they have allowed just 305.3 ypg and 12 ppg, while Tennessee has averaged just 357 ypg and 21 ppg on the road. This is not an explosive offense and they also are not really a hurry up offense either. I see them struggling to score too many points vs this tough Ole Miss defense. For Ole Miss their problems on offense are running the ball and stopping the run is the weakness of the Vols, so I do look for Ole Miss to try and run the ball more here, which will eat clock. they will have to run the ball to loosen up a pass defense that ranks 6th in the nation, allowing just 160 ypg through the air so far. Overall the Vols have allowed just 19.2 ppg on the year and that ranks 21st in the nation. The Under is 0-5 in the Rebels last 5 conference games and 8-1 in their last 9 games overall. Both trends should continue here as this one is played in the mid 30's at best.
BEST OF THE REST
Army/ Kent State Under 51.5: This Kent State offense is pathetic this year as they rank 123rd in the nation in total yards and 127th in scoring (11.8 ppg), while not scoring more than 17 points in a game so far. They will be taking on a bad Army defense, but they only scored 17 points on a bad UMass defense last week, so just cause they are playing a bad defense doesn't mean they will score allot. The Army offense is all about the run and that will help keep the clock moving. Army has been involved in some high scoring games this year, but this will not be one of them.
NORTHWESTERN +7 over Nebraska: This has been a tight series as he last 3 meetings have all been decided by a FG or less and the Cats have been playing much better than the start that put them at 0-2 out the gate. They have won 3 of their last 4 games, which includes a 20-14 win over Wisconsin on this same field. Nebraska has had a nice start this year, but really who have they played. They beat Miami by 10 and lost to Michigan State on the road by 5 points. The rest of their schedule has consisted of FAU/ McNeese State (who they struggled with), Fresno State and Illinois. Not murderers row by any stretch. The Cats play very good defense and Nebraska had problems moving the Ball on the only good defense they have played this year, in Michigan State. The Husker defense isn’t all that great and I feel that Northwestern will score enough to keep the game close, and maybe even outright. I look for the Cats to pull another upset here or at the very least this should be another game decided by a FG or less.
Missouri/ Florida Under 47: The Missouri offense is having problems scoring right now and this gator’s defense is allot better than they showed last week and vs Alabama a few weeks ago. I feel they will get back on track defensively in this one. The Gator offense woke up a bit last week, but this offense isn’t really geared to do it two weeks in a row and they may be a bit flat after their battle with the Tigers last week. Just don’t see this game nearing 50 points at all.
Nevada +12 Over BYU: BYU is not the same team without Taysom hill in there and there defense is not as stout as was expect this year. Even Before Taysom went out BYU was not playing dominant football, beating Virginia and Houston but just 8 points each in their 2 wins prior to the current 2 game losing streak. During their last 4 games the Cougars have allowed 31 ppg, compared to just 8.5 ppg in their first two games and now they face a solid Nevada offense that has averaged 28.5 ppg on the year. The Nevada defense is not all that good and BYU will score on them, but I just don't see the Cougars getting enough stops defensively to win this one easily.
10 Point Teaser: Kansas State +17 & Virginia +12.5 & Cincinnati -3
10 Point Teaser: Kentucky +20 & Tennessee +26.5 & Washington +30.5
Bowling Green/ Western Michigan Over 70.5
CENTRAL MICHIGAN -8 over Ball State
FLORIDA -6 over Missouri
10 Point Teaser: Arkansas +13 & Marshall +11 & Ohio State/ Rutgers Over 52.5
Hawaii/ San Diego State Under 49
CFB 2014
Top Plays Overall 22-24-1 (-15.8 Units)... 4 Unit 1-3-0 (-9.2 Units)
Top Play Totals 11-16-0 (-21.9 Units)... Power Angle Plays 3-0-0 (+10.00 Units)... Top Play Teasers 2-2-0 (-0.6 Units)
Best Of The Rest Plays Overall 49-44-2 (-0.40 Units)
Best Of The Rest Totals 26-19-1 (+9.00 Units)... Best Of The Rest Teasers 11-16-0 (-15.4 Units)