It's as good a time as any to talk about Handicapping Major League Baseball and what it is all about. I took a Piece from one of my Client Plays:
"We always try to put ourselves in the best situation to win, and the fact is that is really what handicapping MLB is all about. Every other definition is just fluff and nonsense sense regardless of how you handicap a game **** Happens."
You Notice that I cut out the Bad Word, this being a G Rated Website and all. The Bottom Line is that we can't predict how a starting pitcher is going to do, we can only make Educated Assumptions based on a number of factors. The same holds true with Hitters vs Pitchers ETC. Perfect Example last night with Chase Anderson No-Hitting the Cubs into the 8th Inning. Nuts.
Some Fun Trend Stuff tonight for the Thunder/Warriors Contest. Pay attention here. Playoff Favorites of 8 Points or More are now 18-6 ATS in these Games after last night's Cavs Win. And they are also 119-88 (57.5%) since 2005. Coincidentally the Warriors are 7-1 the last 8 times they have been Favored by 8.5 or more. Current Line = #706 GS Warriors -8.5. Ok, you can turn the channel now, there's nothing to see here..
Weather at the Parks is MARVO today. No Issues to Report, no Outrageous Wind, lot's of Beer Sales expected..
ROAD PITCHER ALERT!! Tom Koehler in 4 Games on the Highway has an ERA of 6.05 and a 13K/15BB Ratio. He's on the Hill today at Philly and money is Flowing toward him..
Today's CONSENSUS MLB TOTAL is Cleveland/Cincinnati OVER. Consensus Plays are derived from Polling some of the people I know in the Business either well or not so well, + other Info Sources. I don't always like the Consensus Total but I do like this one at 8.5 or better. Reds Pen is still Sucking, the Indians are Pounding Southpaws to the tune of 7.6 Runs Per 9 over the last 10, favorable HPU and Weather tonight, 9-3-1 OVER last 13 at this Park. Looks too easy. Probably is. Clevinger the Wildcard here. He's been pretty solid at AAA and was in the Spring as well..
I do have a MLB Total set for tonight that I like a lot and it's ready to go at GregShaker.com
You Guys have fun today and I hope all of your Bets are Winners..