Saturday, Sep. 5
Diamondbacks @ Cubs -- Chicago’s Jake Arrieta has not allowed an earned run in his last three starts while beating the Braves, Giants, and Dodgers. Arrieta has an incredible 27/3 strikeout/walk ratio in his last 21 inning of work. However, one of Arrieta’s worst outings this season came in Arizona back in May when he allowed 6 runs and seven hits in six innings of work. All three of Robbie Ray’s wins this season have come away from Arizona; he owns a 2.64 ERA and 1.17 WHIP on the road. I’ll take Arizona (+200) in this game on Saturday afternoon.
Braves @ Nationals -- Atlanta’s Shelby Miller has a winless streak of 19 straight starts. He has allowed 2 earned runs or less 12 times, but he has also received 2 runs of support or less 14 times. Miller has faced the Nationals twice this season, giving up 6 runs and 11 hits in 12 innings of work. It’s kind of hard to play Atlanta right now as they have seemingly packed things up for the last month of the season, but there’s value in taking the Braves +1.5 runs (-120) in this game.
White Sox @ Royals -- Chicago’s Jose Quintana is 0-6 with a 4.68 ERA in 16 career starts against the Royals. He faced the Royals and Danny Duffy back on August 9th in Kansas City; neither pitcher picked up a decision in that game. Quintana allowed 4 runs and eight hits in 6.2 innings while Duffy gave up 3 runs and four hits in 3.1 innings of work. I lean Over 8 (-115) in this game on Saturday night.