I think the Marlins have a good shot. No Span, Taylor, and probably Yunel Escobar for the Nats tonight and this is right after they got back to full health. So another juggling of the lineup by Matt Williams who I don't trust at all in situations and to put out a good lineup card. Conley has been knocked around but it's a familiar opponent vs. Scherzer who's looked the worst out of all the -200 pitchers going tonight.
Think that the Dodgers -200 line is a trap for taking Chicago. Cubs really struggle against premier LHP (see Bumgarner game, Sale game, Hamels game in the no-hitter). You see a good team like the Cubs 20+ games over .500 and them being +200 and you want to pounce on it but the matchup is horrible. Dodgers look much better at home too so you might want to forget about those bad moments in Cinci.
Boston has a shot against the Mets but Mets at home are tough, and they are swinging the daylights off the ball right now. Boston may put out the all-time worst defensive lineup too if Ortiz plays tonight at first and HamRam is out in left again. Yikes! Btw, a true over game if I saw one on tonight's card.
The only way to play Colorado is F5 if you believe Gray will rebound. Gray is much better suited on the road. Liriano can definitely be had in the first few innings of games. Colorado has a bunch of good RH batters. But Gray is unlikely to go deep and COL's BP stinks so no way you can feel confident about a full game wager (plus Pitt is so good in late innings like STL).