Coach Fletcher's Tuesday Free Pick
Tuesday, August 4
7:05 pm Cleveland Indians at Los Angeles Angels
The Pick Los Angeles Angels -111 The Greek
Shoemaker Out to Silence Indians
Matt Shoemaker had a break out season in 2014. He didn't start out this season with the same results he showed last year, but in his last 5 starts Shoemaker has been hard to hit.
The Pitchers
Shoemaker, Angels Carrasco, Indians
? 5-7, 4.24 era 11-8, 4.03 era
? 1-0, 0.96 era last 3 1-1, 3.79 era last 3
? 1-2, 3.06 era last 7 3-2, 3.47 era last 7
? 3-6, 3.80 era last 15 7-6, 3.83 era last 15
? 1-6, 4.04 era home 7-2, 2.82 on road
? 5-5, 4.22 era night 8-5, 3.78 era night
? 1-1, 1.78 era July 2-2, 3.72 era July
1-0, 2.25 era vs Cleveland (2014) 0-0, 3.46 era vs Angels (2011)
Carrasco is an above average pitcher with a good road record. If you don't remember Shoemaker from last year he went 16-4 with a 3.04 era. I think he shuts down Cleveland tonight.
The Hitters
The Angels are pretty inconsistent hitting and scoring runs. They've had extended streaks of low output, but I expect they will respond at home after the horrible 1-8 road trip.
Angels Indians
? 4.2 runs per game 3.8 runs per game
? 4.0 runs at home 3.8 runs on road
? 4.3 runs per game vs RHP 4.0 runs per game vs RHP
? 4.0 runs per game last 7 3.4 runs per game last 7
? 4.2 runs per game grass 3.7 runs per game grass
? 4.4 runs per game night 3.6 runs per game night
? MLB HR per game - 7th MLB HR per game - 23rd
? Total bases 17th MLB Total bases 23rd MLB
? 24th MLB batting avg 21st MLB bastting avg
? 13th MLB slugging % 21st MLB slugging %
? 20th MLB on base % 10th MLB on base %
The Angels have the edge in offense especially at night.
Odds and Ends
Angels Indians
? 55-49 48-56
? 32-21 home 28-24 road
? 44-32 night 30-35 night
? 39-39 vs RHP 34-32 vs RHP
? 33-28 vs team w/losing rec 22-29 vs team w/winning record
The Angels also have some big advantages here.
Coach's Conclusion:
This is a must win situation for the Angels. They can't afford to fall any farther back and can actually gain on Houston if the Rangers keep beating them. I'm taking Shoemaker to toss a gem here.
The Play Los Angeles Angels -111 The Greek