Since 2008, betting road favorites of -130 or more (less...) on the run-line in the month of July has returned 11.9%. In the history of the database, this has still returned 8.9%.
season>=2008 and month=7 and AF and line<=-130
SU: 216-122 (1.47, 63.9%) avg line: -146.3 / 135.6 ROI: +8.1% / -15.7%
RL: 175-161 (-0.01, 52.1%) avg line: 115.9 / -126.0 ROI: +11.9% / -13.9%
OU: 162-163-11 (0.56, 49.8%) avg total: 8.3 ROI: -4.3% / -4.6%