Dropped the free one on the Rays last night, hit the over in Petco and the Heat - and next.
972 HOU / 971 MINOVER 8 Greek vs 969 TEX |
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Analysis: I despise Hughes in a small park. Actually, as a fly ball pitcher extraordinaire there aren't many parks I can back him in. He does not miss many bats and throws strikes, which against an Astros team of free swingers could prove deadly. I also think the rood should be open so balls ARE going to carry. In last night's game the Astros used a fair bit of their bullpen, so if the Twins get to Fiers they could score more than I hope the will. He's (Fiers) ALSO a flyball pitcher, but as know the Astros just have better bats. Twins pen has an ERA of 4.27 on the road this season, and they're 2-10 as a team on the road this season - let's take a team with a better record? Actually, they are both 8-18 - but 58% of Houston's game as when they're facing a RHP have gone over, and they're 12-6 to the over when they're favored. They are favored tonight. Four of five of Fiers' starts have gone over. Scott Barry (HP umpire) is fairly neutral, slightly better in the AL as you'd expect. The Twins are scoring almost 5 runs a game over the last week, and the Astros look like they finally started hitting last night - Castro went yard and Gomez was 2-3, and if the bottom of the order can stay hot, I don't worry about the top of the order. Houston's pen has been rough of late, a 5.59 ERA over the last week. So, Houston scores early and the Twins contribute later, IMO - 7-5 Houston.
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