Whenever I see -200 or more (in a major American sport), I always look at it as play against or skip as far as the ML goes. I can't count the amount of times I tried to bet on a huge hockey favorite thinking I can't lose and it would just blow up in my face.
So for baseball and hockey, I just decided I'm going to stop going for numbers that high. But I'm looking at the Astros right now and with the way they are playing, I just can't see them losing to the Rangers. I can't find any reason why the Rangers would win tonight. Like, the last 20 games where either Keuchel or McHugh started for the Astros, HOU is 20-0. I feel like if I don't bet HOU I'm missing an opportunity.
I don't really want to play runline because I have a hard enough time getting a baseball team to win by just 1 run. I like the Giants over Padres tonight, but I don't really want to parlay it. But the best number I can do for HOU right now is -203 (over the -200 benchmark)....So I'm not really sure what to do.