It's been a really, really bad stretch. Four straight losers.. but still searching for value. A lot of books put out different numbers on these which sometimes opens up value on a prop. These two I found value on tonight. There is a possibility I'll find value on Kyrie Irvings prop if the books don't adjust (Irving Usage rate isn sky high without lebron in the lineup)
Demar Derozan OVER 30 Points -110 *WINNER*
- Derozan has averaged 37 PPG without Kyle Lowry in the lineup This season. It's a small sample size, but his usage rate without Lowry (41) is not a coincedence. Against a bottom ten team against opposing SG's, in a projected close game, there's value on any book listing the number at 30.5 and under.
Kevin Durant UNDER 26 Points -125 *LOSER*
- Surprisingly to some, KD has only eclipsed 26 points in 1 of his last 9 games. Also surprisingly to some, the 76ers are the fifth best defense in the NBA scoring wise against opposing SF's and third best in opposing SF's FG%. Durant did not play saturday due to a hand contusion and Steve Kerr has been open about being concious of his stars minutes in the regular season, especially when they are facing inferior opponents. There is also a possibility of a blowout in this game, which could bode well for the under.