While I lean the same way as you, the only ATS stats that apply imo are this year... Which is 2 & 2.
Pau should have a real good game...
Flip a coin on the production from Rose atm. He shows up, they should cover.
Kyrie should go off. Rose doesn't play good defense.
LeBron does what he does. If Butler gets in foul trouble trying to guard James, that will hurt CHI big time cause they need his offense.
Lookin' forward to it... GL!