Golden State/Brooklyn Over 209 (1 unit) I like how Brooklyn is playing since they got Deron Williams back. He is really a game-changer, and now they are making a push. I expect a good effort from them tonight, and I expect a tired Golden State team after last night's huge comeback, which took a lot of effort. Now Golden State has to travel and play again just a night later. All this points toward taking the home dog right? Typically yes, this looks like a great spot to take Brooklyn. However, there are 2 things that will keep us off of Brooklyn tonight. 1) I just cannot advise going against Golden State hardly ever. We have gotten burned by going against hem in "bad spots" because their unique offensive talents can make them the exceptions to rules. We pretty much don't go against them anymore. The only time I was confident in our play against them was at Cleveland because Cleveland is one of the few teams that is better than Golden State and matches up well against them. 2) I am against betting on teams in their first home game off a long road trip. most pros follow this strategy and the reasons are well known and understood, so I'm not going to get into it. So, instead of taking Brooklyn, we are going to play the Over because Brooklyn can score well with Williams and I see them rising to the challenge tonight. Golden State's tired legs is more likely to show up on Defense than offense because the talent, cohesion on offense, and pure shooting ability is so high that I don't see it failing them.
Bonus ML parlay: Dallas Mavericks, Virginia Cavaliers, Iowa State Cyclones all on the Money Line