ATL has dominated this series so far this season, winning five of seven games while outscoring MIA 37-16. They will face a MIA team hitting .228 on the road this year and averaging 3.4 runs per game this month.
Miami starts 22 year old Nathan Eovaldi. He skipped Triple-A altogether. Although Eovaldi does poses a mid-90s with his fastball and a slider control issues should be expected because of his age – that may spell disaster as the Braves lead the National League in walks.
Meanwhile, we can see from the Braves starting pitcher (Mike Minor) splits, he pitches much better at home. Batters are hitting just .211 against him at Atlanta.
By Breakdown ERA W L IP H AVG
Home 4.18 4 2 56 42 0.211
Away 6.16 2 5 57 62 0.283
Give the 1.5 and take the Braves at an excellent price.