A nice rebound day for us on Saturday and we move on. The "Rest of May" All-Access package is available. It sounds like something out of Modern Bride, really. I do know a lot people in the South get married in May. However, back to reality here:
Houston Astros -115 First-Five Innings - We were right about Cleveland yesterday - Musgrove kills me, Salazar does, too. What I really like here is the Astros F5. I think that Houston will get "some" off of Salazar and the Indians haven't seen Musgrove so he should have the advantage early. It's not like Cleveland knocked the cover off the ball yesterday, either. That F5 takes the Indians bullpen out of the equation.
There was no chance of laying -200 with Max on the road against a familiar foe, and even without Freeman I can say the same thing today. Because Washington normally hits LHP well and both pens are below average, I may look at that over a bit.
I have to lean to the Phillies a bit here, if for no other reason than by default. It was reported that Kuhl was dealing with back issues in his last start when Washington killed him. On the other hand Nola is coming off the DL, which is almost always auto-fade stuff. I thought perhaps a look at the total, but the weather is supposed to deteriorate over the course of the afternoon - so the game could be called early. Clearly too many variables.
I don't know how Wainright can be -160 even to Matt Cain. St Louis has lost four straight and their bullpen is in full regression mode. That still doesn't mean I can take Cain, but I could surely cannot take St. Louis. There's a decent helping breeze blowing out, they played extra's yesterday (bullpen usage), and Tom Hallion is behind the plate. Might add this over, since both pitchers are also reasonable hitters.
I won't bet on Miley even after the GOY loss. He did exactly what we thought he would (and save one inning, so did Boyd) and will do it again. I will find a way to take Toronto or pass.
Oakland is actually pretty solid against LHP, but Alonso is questionable. I do like Triggs, and although many people will be betting that Boston doesn't get swept, I tend to think that they do. That's an over-used angle in my opinion - sweeps happen in MLB all the time. Both teams have tomorrow off - Boston is flying coast-to-coast tonight so they may be looking forward to that plane ride more than the game they gotta play before that. So, lean Oakland here, actually.
There will be plenty of information available on the Sunday Night game before the day is out - it will be a lot of people's favorite game of the day, so for now I have no opinion. I don't think the Tigers hit Darvish, I don't think the Rangers hit Boyd as well as maybe Baltimore did in one inning - I can make a reasonable case for the F5 under at the moment.