NCAA:
A quick note on the NCAA finals. I think THE key factor tonight is NC's point guard Joel Berry, and his two injured ankles. Berry did not have a good game vs. Oregon, and if he struggles again tonight, the Zags look to have the value. With the total inflating upward, a bet on UNDER at post MAY make sense, especially given Berry's ankles. Berry had almost a week to get right with his ankles....hard to think he will now be better with only 2 days between games.
In Final Four Games, the OVER is now 10-4, the 1st half Over is 10-4, and the 2nd half UNDER is 10-4. Given this (and noting it is a small sample), a case can be made to look to play just the 2nd half UNDER in the game.
NBA:
Cleveland continues to struggle in the East, and more and more those playoffs look wide open. Golden State had a MONSTER week in the West, and given their power rating is back up to 10 WITHOUT Durant, one has to wonder if any team will be able to compete with them.
At the Bottom of the Standings, Brooklyn will have the worst record, but there is no question Phoenix and the Lakers are in a battle to see who can play the worst ball the last 10 days of the season.
Check out the ratings (I show LAST week, and this week). Additionally, I have included HFA for select teams. To get a projected spread, take the difference and add in HFA. Note, if the calculated spread is above 10, you need to bring it down a bit, to reflect the fact the 4th quarter will likely be evenly played if a team is up double digits......
What do you guys think? What team do I have that is off?
HFA (Most Teams use 3):
Higher HFA (4): Gst, LAL*, OKC, Por, Clev, Det,
Lower HFA (2): Den, Sac, Brook, NY
*The Lakers play MUCH better at home, this could well just be because they are tanking, and they do so much more on the road THIS year.......
|
March |
April |
|
27 |
3 |
Dallas |
-1 |
-1 |
Denver |
1.5 |
1.5 |
G state |
8.5 |
10 |
Hou |
6.5 |
6 |
LA CLIPS |
4 |
4 |
LAL |
-10 |
-10 |
Mem |
2.5 |
2.5 |
MIN |
0 |
-1 |
NEW ORL |
0.5 |
1 |
OKC |
2 |
2 |
PHX |
-9 |
-9.5 |
POR |
0.5 |
1.5 |
SAC |
-6.5 |
-6.5 |
SA |
7 |
7 |
UT |
4 |
4 |
|
|
|
ATL |
-1.5 |
0 |
BOST |
4.5 |
4.5 |
Brook |
-8 |
-7 |
CHRL |
-1.5 |
-1.5 |
CHIC |
-1.5 |
0 |
CLEV |
4 |
4 |
DET |
-1 |
-2 |
IND |
-0.5 |
0 |
MIA |
1 |
1 |
MIL |
1.5 |
1 |
NY |
-6 |
-5 |
ORL |
-6 |
-6 |
PHIL- |
-5 |
-5.5 |
TOR |
2.5 |
2.5 |
WASH |
2.5 |
2.5 |
MLB:
On the capping front, my MLB Opening Day Best Bet is UP, along with 4 Season Win Best Bets, including two 3* plays! I LOVE all the Season Wins plays, and those historically have been very profitable for me as a Professional Sports Bettor. Check it out!
http://bit.ly/1dO56ZY