Attached are my updated power ratings on every team, showing the change from last week, along with their HFA (a blank HFA indicates use 2.5). To calculate a spread, take the difference between the teams, and adjust for HFA. Note, if your calculated point spread is above 7, it typically requires a small adjustment downward, to reflect the 4th quarter of most of these games being more of a pk'm type situation.
Re: NE, I don't want to guess how healthy their backup Qbs will be. So NE is +7.5 with Brady, and I have no idea how good they will be THIS week.
|
20-Sep |
28-Sep |
HFA |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Arizona |
5.5 |
4 |
3.5 |
|
Atlanta |
-1 |
-0.5 |
|
|
Baltimore |
0.5 |
1 |
|
|
Buffalo |
-2.5 |
-1.5 |
|
|
Carolina |
5.5 |
4 |
|
|
Chicago |
-3.5 |
-4.5 |
2 |
Hoyer |
Cincy |
3.5 |
2.5 |
3 |
|
Cleveland |
-10 |
-9 |
|
Kessler |
Dallas |
-0.5 |
0 |
1.5 |
|
Denver |
2.5 |
4 |
|
|
Detroit |
-1 |
-1 |
|
|
Green Bay |
4.5 |
5 |
4 |
|
Houston |
2 |
0.5 |
|
|
Indy |
-2 |
-2 |
|
|
Jax |
-2 |
-2.5 |
1.5 |
|
KC |
2 |
2 |
3 |
|
LA |
-3 |
-2.5 |
|
|
Mia |
-1.5 |
-2.5 |
1.5 |
|
Minny |
2 |
3.5 |
3.5 |
|
NEW Eng |
|
7.5 |
4 |
Brady |
New Orl |
-3 |
-4 |
|
|
NYG |
1.5 |
1.5 |
2 |
|
NYJ |
0 |
0 |
2 |
|
Oakland |
0 |
0 |
|
|
Philly |
-2 |
1.5 |
2 |
|
Pit |
6 |
5.5 |
|
|
SD |
-2 |
-2 |
1.5 |
|
SF |
-4.5 |
-6 |
2 |
|
Sea |
2.5 |
3.5 |
4 |
|
Tampa |
-0.5 |
-1 |
2 |
|
Ten |
-4 |
-4 |
2 |
|
Wash |
-2 |
-2 |
|
|
What do you guys think? What team am I off by the most?
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